基于模型融合的火力发电蒸汽量预测算法研究

Angru Li, Jiajia Chen, Shaoliang Ling, Qi Liu, Ni Yan
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摘要

目前我国主要的发电方式是火力发电,火力发电是我国能源的核心支柱。燃烧效率是火力发电的关键因素。降低锅炉能耗,提高锅炉燃烧效率是当前研究的主要问题。然而,锅炉的燃烧效率是一个涉及多变量、非线性和高复杂性的过程,根据经验和理论很难找到合适的过程参数。随着人工智能技术的发展,现在可以使用智能学习算法来分析和研究锅炉的历史燃烧数据,从而改善燃烧效率低的问题。本文以蒸汽量预测和提高燃烧效率为出发点,以电厂历史运行数据为研究对象,采用改进的模型融合方法进行调优和预测,与多元线性回归、支持向量机、树模型进行对比,通过实验验证融合算法的有效性。
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Research on Prediction Algorithm of Thermal Power Generation Steam Volume Based on Model Fusion
At present, the main power generation method in my country is thermal power generation, which is the core pillar of my country's energy. Combustion efficiency is a key factor in thermal power generation. Reducing energy consumption and improving the combustion efficiency of boilers are the main issues of current research. However, the combustion efficiency of the boiler is a process involving multiple variables, nonlinearity and high complexity, and it is difficult to find suitable process parameters based on experience and theory. With the development of artificial intelligence technology, intelligent learning algorithms can now be used to analyze and study the historical combustion data of boilers, so as to improve the problem of low combustion efficiency. In this paper, steam volume prediction and improvement of combustion efficiency as the starting point, with the historical operation data of the power plant as the research object, using the improved model fusion method for tuning and prediction, compared with multiple linear regression, support vector machine, tree model, through experiments to verify the effectiveness of the fusion algorithm.
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