全球石油行业最新的疆域转移:定量评估

N. D. Zhuravlev
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摘要

本文对2001年至2020年全球石油工业的最新变化进行了定量评价。对地域结构随时间变化的研究使我们能够更好地了解行业的新趋势,并对未来的发展做出更准确的预测。研究的对象是分部门- -石油生产和炼油两个部分- -炼油厂的实际产量和装机容量。作者根据Ryabtsev标准和A.P. Gorkin的位置惯性系数来估计地域移动。此外,对个别国家和宏观地区在石油工业中的作用变化进行了总体概述。研究结果表明,尽管石油工业整体成熟,但其所有部门的地域变化都很明显。
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THE NEWEST TERRITORIAL SHIFTS IN THE GLOBAL OIL INDUSTRY: QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION
This article is devoted to the quantitative evaluation of the newest changes in the global oil industry for the period from 2001 to 2020. The study of changes in territorial structures over time allows us to better understand the emerging trends in the industry and give more accurate forecasts of further development. The objects of the study are the sub-sectors - oil production and refining in two segments - the actual output and installed capacity of refineries. The author estimates territorial shifts based on the following indicators: V.M. Ryabtsev’s criterion and A.P. Gorkin’s coefficient of location inertia. In addition, a general overview of the changes in the role of individual states and macro-regions in the oil industry is presented. The results of the study indicate significant territorial shifts in all segments of the oil industry, despite its overall maturity.
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