基于博弈论的自然灾害关键资源配置

Rudrashis Majumder, Rakesh R. Warier, Debasish Ghose
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引用次数: 7

摘要

在自然灾害发生后,以公平的方式分配有限的资源是至关重要的,特别是在同时发生多种紧急情况的情况下。本文提出了一种基于二人非合作战略形式博弈的资源分配方法,假设危机事件发生在不同的地点,并将其视为参与者。目标是获得个体参与者的最优策略,当资源的可用性不足以满足游戏中所有参与者的需求时,该策略将导致不可分割资源的有效分配。基于非货币成本函数(用于生成游戏矩阵),每个玩家都会产生资源需求成本。成本函数的制定是为了激励集体利益和公平分享。结果表明,对于拟定的对策,至少存在一个纯策略纳什均衡(PSNE)。运用收益优势和风险优势的概念,从PSNEs中获得了理想的资源分配策略。
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Game Theory-Based Allocation of Critical Resources during Natural Disasters
Allocation of limited resources in a fair manner is essential after a natural disaster, especially if multiple emergencies occur at the same time. In this paper, a resource allocation methodology is proposed based on a two-player, non-cooperative, strategic form game where the crisis events, assumed to occur at different locations, are considered as the players. The objective is to obtain an optimal strategy for the individual players which leads to an effective allocation of an indivisible resource when the availability of the resource is insufficient to satisfy the need of all the players of the game. Each player incurs a cost for demanding resources based on a non-monetary cost function which is used to generate the game matrices. The cost function is formulated such that collective good and fair sharing are incentivised. It is shown that at least one pure strategy Nash equilibrium (PSNE) always exists for the formulated game. A desirable resource allocation strategy is obtained from PSNEs by applying the concepts of payoff and risk dominance.
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