中国人口迁移与空间错配

Xiaolu Li, Lin Ma, Yang Tang
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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们从结构上估计了中国地级市企业层面的摩擦,并量化了它们的总量和分布影响。基于具有投入产出扭曲和迁移的一般均衡模型,我们发现在富裕地区,企业层面的摩擦分散程度较低,与生产率的相关性较低。反事实实验表明,减少县域内分配不当增加了总福利,抑制了向大城市的迁移,缩小了空间不平等。此外,内部迁移缓解了微观摩擦对总福利的影响,加剧了微观摩擦对空间不平等的影响。
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Migration and Spatial Misallocation in China
We structurally estimate the firm-level frictions across prefectures in China and quantify their aggregate and distributional implications. Based on a general equilibrium model with input and output distortions and migration, we show that the firm-level frictions are less dispersed and less correlated with productivity in richer prefectures. Counterfactual exercises show that reducing the within-prefecture misallocation increases the aggregate welfare, discourages migration towards large cities, and narrows the spatial inequality. Moreover, internal migration alleviates the impacts of micro-frictions on aggregate welfare and worsens their impacts on spatial inequality.
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