经济增长与国际研发合作:面板格兰杰因果分析

Tarek Sadraoui, Tarek Ben Ali, Bechir Deguachi
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引用次数: 22

摘要

本文将研究1970 - 2012年32个发达国家和发展中国家研发合作与经济增长之间的格兰杰因果关系。我们使用了一种创新的计量经济学方法,该方法基于格兰杰非因果假设的面板检验。利用一种新的异质性面板因果关系评价方法,我们发现面板间R&D合作对经济增长的因果关系是同质的。然而,在我们的样本中,我们发现经济增长与研发合作的因果关系存在异质性。研究结果支持经济增长与研发合作之间存在显著的因果关系。相反,在大多数情况下,研发合作对经济增长的非因果假设都不能被否定。然而,这些结果只是暗示,如果这种关系存在,它不能很容易地识别在一个简单的双变量格兰杰因果检验。
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Economic Growth and International R&D Cooperation: A Panel Granger Causality Analysis
This paper will investigate the Granger causality between R&D cooperation and economic growth in 32 industrial and developing countries from 1970 to 2012. We use an innovative econometric method which is based on a panel test of the Granger non causality hypothesis. Using a new method to evaluate causality in a heterogeneous panel, we find that the causal relationship from R&D cooperation to economic growth is homogeneous among the panel. However, we find strong evidence of a heterogeneity of the causal relationship from economic growth to R&D cooperation in our sample. Results provide support for a robust causality relationship from economic growth to R&D cooperation. On the contrary, the non causality hypothesis from R&D cooperation to economic growth can’t be rejected in most of the cases. However, these results only imply that, if such a relationship exists, it can’t be easily identified in a simply bi-variate Granger causality test.
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