基于决策树模型和灰色多准则风险决策方法的物流服务模式选择

Hou Jing, Zhao Lindu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

物流服务模式的选择是物流发展的战略决策;复杂的环境要求服务模式既要满足市场的需求,又要满足外部的紧急情况。本文的目的是提出一种可行的方法来选择最优的物流服务模式,假设有两种可能的环境状态:正常状态和紧急状态。在分析物流服务需求和物流服务能力的基础上,通过选取有意义的评价准则,建立了决策树模型,并采用灰色多准则风险决策和灰色模糊关系法进行求解。最后给出了模型的仿真结果。我们的方法将帮助物流服务提供商以及正在考虑这些问题的学者。
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Logistics service mode selection based on decision-tree model and grey multi-criteria risk decision-making method
The selection of logistics service mode is a strategic decision-making for the development of logistics; complicated circumstances require that the service mode can meet not only the needs of markets, but also the emergency outside. The purpose of this paper is to present what we believe is a useful way to select the optimal logistics service mode assuming there are two possible statuses of the environment-normal status and emergency status. Based on the analysis of logistics service demand and logistics service capability, and by choosing the significant evaluating criteria, a decision-tree model was presented and solved using grey multi-criteria risk decision-making and grey fuzzy relationship method. Finally, simulation results of the model are given. Our methodology will help logistics service providers as well as academics that are considering such issues.
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