公私合作可再生能源项目绩效的政治风险因素:以肯尼亚地热可再生能源项目为例

K. Odhiambo, C. Rambo, Stephen Lucas Okello
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摘要

为了解决财政资金有限和能源需求不足的问题,PPP被认为是一种有效的方式。然而,政治风险一直被指责为未能像发达国家那样吸引私人投资的原因。本文着眼于影响肯尼亚PPP可再生能源项目绩效的政治风险。本研究采用了语用研究范式,采用了相关调查和描述性调查相结合的方法。定量数据采用自填问卷收集,定性数据采用访谈指南收集。使用Yamane公式从769名目标人群中抽取了263名受访者。对于描述性统计,研究使用均值和标准差。对于推理统计,研究使用Pearson积差相关(r)和多元回归,而f检验用于假设检验。研究建立了政治风险的显著影响r = 0.572, F (1,205) = 99.771, R2 = 0.327, p< 0.05H0被拒绝。研究得出结论,政治风险对肯尼亚PPP可再生能源项目的绩效有显著影响。基于这一发现,该研究建议维持政治稳定。
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Political Risk Factors on Perfomance of Public Private Partnership Renewable Energy Projects: The Case of Geothermal Renewable Enrgy Projects in Kenya
To solve the problem of limited fiscal funds and demand for energy, PPP has been touted as an effective approach. However political risks have been blamed for failure to attract private investments in equally measure as their developed partners. This article looked at political risks influencing the performance of PPP renewable energy projects in Kenya. The study adopted a pragmatic paradigm and employed a mixed methods approach, correlational and descriptive survey design. Quantitative data was collected by use of a self-administered questionnaire and an interview guide was used to collect qualitative data. A sample size of 263 respondents was drawn from a target population of 769 using the Yamane formula. For descriptive statistics the study used the mean and standard deviation. For inferential statistics the study used Pearson’s Product Moment Correlation (r) and Multiple Regression while the F-tests were used in hypothesis testing. The study established a significant influence of political risks r = 0.572, F (1,205) = 99.771, R2 = 0.327 at p<.05 H0 was rejected. The study concluded that there was a significant influence of political risks on the performance of PPP renewable energy projects in Kenya. Based on this finding the study recommends sustainable political stability.
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