基于退化数据的装甲车辆发动机等效工作时间估计研究

Yanhua Cao, Yong Li, Chun-liang Chen, Yiran Guo
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摘要

战斗装备的发动机,如装甲车的柴油机,其工作时间在很大程度上反映了其技术状况。然而,在不同的外部使用环境下,相同的使用时间可能反映出不同的设备技术状况。而通过计算设备的等效使用时间,可以间接地更准确地估计设备的剩余寿命。从经验上讲,相同的退化参数值通常反映了设备在不同外部环境下工作时的相同技术状况。同一类型的设备在相同的使用环境下使用寿命是相似的。本文首先提出了工艺参数的确定原则和测量方法。然后,提出了神经网络在预测领域的优势,并选择神经网络回归预测的方法对装甲车辆柴油机等效工作时间进行估计。规定了标准的外部使用环境,以便将普通工作时间转换为其等效时间。以某型装甲装备柴油机为例,建立了基于多个退化参数的预测模型。然后用实际使用数据对模型进行了测试和验证。计算结果表明,该估算方法是科学实用的。最后提出了两个有待进一步改进的问题。
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Research on Estimation of Equivalent Working Time for Armored Vehicle Engine Based on Degradation Data
The working time of combat equipment’s engine, such as the diesel engine of armored vehicle, reflects its technical condition to a great degree. However, the identical use time under different external usage environments may reflect different technical conditions of equipment. But the residual life can be indirectly estimated more accurately by calculating equipment’s equivalent use time. Empirically speaking, the same values of degradation parameters usually reflect the same technical conditions of the equipment when it even worked under different external environments. The service life of the same type of equipment under the same usage environments is similar. In this paper, the determination principle and measurement method of the technical parameters is put forward firstly. Then, the neural network’s advantages in prediction field are put forward and the method of regression prediction with neural network is chosen to estimate the equivalent working time of diesel engine of armored vehicle. The standard external usage environments are specified so as to change the ordinary working time into its equivalent. Taking a certain type of armored equipment diesel engine as an example, the prediction model is built based on several degradation parameters. Then the model is tested and verified by actual usage data. The calculation results indicate that the estimation method is scientific and practical. Two problems are finally proposed to discuss for further improvement.
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