汇率不确定下的国际物流动态研究

Li Zhu, L. Schulze, Lindu Zhao
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引用次数: 1

摘要

汇率的变动影响着整个国际物流系统的均衡。在回顾国际物流优化相关文献的基础上,首次尝试将汇率风险和多产品流纳入国际物流动态模型。该模型的决策目的是通过心理预期使期望收益最大化。进而找出更可靠的均衡交易量和均衡交易价格。采用投影梯度算法,利用MATLAB软件进行了数值模拟和稳定性分析。仿真结果的收敛性和稳定性证明了汇率不确定下多产品动态国际物流系统模型的有效性。
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Research on international logistics dynamics with uncertain exchange rate
The movement of exchange rate influences the equilibrium of entire international logistics system. Based on reviewing literature on international logistics optimisation, exchange rate risk and multi-product flow are first attempted to be integrated into international logistics dynamic model. The decision-making purpose of the model is to maximise expectation revenue with psychological anticipation. And then more reliable equilibrium transaction volume and equilibrium transaction price are found out. Using projection gradient algorithms, numerical simulation and stability analysis are presented by MATLAB software. The convergence effect and stability of simulation result prove the validity of multi-product dynamic international logistics system model with uncertain exchange rate.
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