今天关于核安全的常识思考

G. Petrangeli
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文回顾了最近发生在核电站的几起令人震惊的事件。这些事件属于“可能发生但不可信”的事件。2011年的福岛海啸是最近的一次灾难。讨论了目前(非常保守的)安全理念,以及尽管如此,核电站仍可能发生灾难(未控制的堆芯熔化)的原因。除了“概率”之外,还描述了“机会”的重要性。简要讨论了今后可能发生的这类事件。对现有设施的非常特殊的预防性工厂规定被描述为极端补救行动的例子。说明了核工业需要改变“思维模式”。还提到了一个可能的经济解决成本问题的例子。
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Common sense considerations on nuclear safety today
Several recent astonishing events at nuclear plants are recalled in this paper. These events are of the type of ‘possible but not credible’ events. The Fukushima tsunami (2011) is the most recent and catastrophic one. A discussion is made on the present (very conservative) safety philosophy and on the reasons why, notwithstanding it, catastrophe (uncontained core melts) may happen at nuclear plants. The importance of ‘chance’ besides ‘probability’ is described. Possible future events of this kind are briefly discussed. Very exceptional preventive plant provisions for existing installations are described as examples of extreme remedial actions. A need for a change of ‘mindset’ in the nuclear industry is illustrated. An example of a possible economic solution to the problem of cost is also mentioned.
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