利用技术分析和情绪分析预测股价走势

Tommy Wijaya Sagala, M. Saputri, Rahmad Mahendra, I. Budi
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引用次数: 9

摘要

本研究旨在运用技术分析与情绪分析相结合的方法来预测股价走势。在进行股票交易时,交易者不仅要考虑市场活动,还要考虑媒体报道的信息所表达的情绪。我们构建分类器将价格报价分为三类:“上涨”、“下跌”和“不变”。我们使用支持向量机(SVM)、k近邻(KNN)和Naïve贝叶斯等算法进行实验。我们的实证研究结果表明,结合历史数据和网络媒体情绪特征的方法在使用SVM算法的5天交易窗口上取得了最高的准确性。
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Stock Price Movement Prediction Using Technical Analysis and Sentiment Analysis
This study aims to predict stock price movement using combination of technical analysis and sentiment analysis. When conducting stock transactions, the traders consider not only market activities but also the sentiments expressed within information reported in media. We build the classifier to categorize the price quotes into one of three classes: "up", "down", and "constant". We conduct the experiment with several algorithms, i.e. Support Vector Machine (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), and Naïve Bayes. The results of our empirical study is that the highest accuracy achieved from the method combining features from historical data and online media sentiment, on 5 days trading window using the SVM algorithm.
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