分析师的行业专长

Ohad Kadan, Leonardo Madureira, Rong Wang, Tzachi Zach
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引用次数: 194

摘要

行业专业知识是卖方研究的一个重要方面。我们使用一个新的行业建议数据集来探索这方面,这些建议通常是由战略分析师发布的。我们研究卖方分析师对行业进行相对排名的能力(跨行业专业知识),以及它与分析师对特定行业公司进行排名的能力(行业内专业知识)之间的关系。我们发现,分析师对投资水平、过去盈利能力和过去回报较高的行业表现出更乐观的态度。分析师表现出跨行业的专业知识,因为基于行业建议的投资组合在短期和长期都能产生异常回报,超出了行业势头所能解释的范围。此外,行业推荐包含的信息与公司推荐中显示的信息是正交的,对于那些将公司推荐作为行业同行基准的经纪人来说更是如此。因此,当将行业和公司建议结合起来考虑,利用行业专业知识的两个维度时,卖方分析师建议的投资价值得到增强。
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Analysts’ Industry Expertise
Industry expertise is an important aspect of sell-side research. We explore this aspect using a novel dataset of industry recommendations, which are often issued by strategy analysts. We study sell-side analysts' ability to rank industries relative to each other (across-industry expertise), and how it relates to analysts' ability to rank firms in a particular industry (within-industry expertise). We find that analysts express more optimism towards industries with higher levels of investment, past profitability, and past returns. Analysts exhibit across-industry expertise, as portfolios based on industry recommendations generate abnormal returns over both short and long horizons, beyond what would be explained by industry momentum. Additionally, industry recommendations contain information, which is orthogonal to the information revealed in firm recommendations, and more so for brokers who benchmark their firm recommendations to industry peers. Consequently, the investment value of sell-side analysts' recommendations is enhanced when both dimensions of industry expertise are utilized by considering industry and firm recommendations in combination.
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