“新东京。新的明天。(新的G20)。——硬实力,软实力,还是巧实力?

Denisa Čiderová, Chihana Imai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

关于美国前国务卿詹姆斯·贝克关于“从温哥华延伸到符拉迪沃斯托克”的新冷战后民主共同体的声明,马凯硕[1:42 -43]指出,日本是经济合作与发展组织(OECD)和七国集团(G7)所代表的“西方俱乐部”的第一个也是迄今为止唯一的亚洲成员。在大部分有记录的历史中,亚洲(占世界人口的最大份额)一直享有世界经济的最大份额,到2050年,世界四大经济体中有三个将成为亚洲经济体(依次为:中国;美国;印度;他接着说,高盛(Goldman Sachs)的一份金砖四国(BRICs)研究设想的日本(Japan)将成为亚洲国家,并声称:“日本之所以能领先于亚洲其他国家,是因为它理解了近150年前西方(由工业革命带来的)成功的信息”;日本人(明治维新派)“愿意考虑任何国家的西方最佳做法,并准备以折衷的方式混合和匹配政策”;并补充说“中国人向新加坡学习,新加坡向日本学习”[1:51 - 52,77 -78]。所谓的“新亚洲大博弈”(Mahbubani, 2011年引用于[2:29])指的是“地缘经济(“传统”别名软实力)与地缘政治(“传统”别名硬实力)”的挑战:“亚洲新兴大国面临的最严峻的挑战是日益严重的自然资源限制,特别是土地和水,这些资源不容易被技术解决方案所满足,而且(与能源不同)不能通过贸易来增强”[2:309]。正如stank[3]所说,当前的第四次工业革命反映了社会,揭示了当今社会建筑的逻辑;因此,问题是,如果我们愿意接受这一事实,如果我们意识到变革的必要性,并且随着个体文明模式对相同条件的不同反应(即语言、历史和社会的差异影响技术变革的实施和影响),理解技术变革速度与社会和个人适应速度的相互影响是至关重要的。因此,出现了一个“巧实力”维度——以日本的社会5.0概念为代表[4:119-122]。更具包容性的G20(自最近的全球金融危机以来被指定为“世界“主要经济合作论坛”)正在玩一场中场游戏:促进讨论,同时为(罕见的)紧急情况做好准备。这种运作模式更接近地反映了亚洲而不是西方的治理方式,并且可能是Dobson & Petri[5: 261, 273-274]所认为的全球体系变革的先兆。因此,我们通过对联合国可持续发展目标11(可持续城市和社区)的比较案例研究(日本和斯洛伐克共和国)进行说明,重点关注2019年6月28日至29日举行的二十国集团大阪峰会,探讨在经合组织背景下技术转让的前景。
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“NEW TOKYO. NEW TOMORROW. (NEW G20).” – HARD POWER, SOFT POWER, SMART POWER?
With reference to the statement of the former US Secretary of State James Baker talking about the new post-Cold-War community of democracies that would “stretch from Vancouver to Vladivostok” Mahbubani [1: 42-43] points out the position of Japan as the first and until then the exclusive Asian member of the “Western club” represented by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) and the G7. Throughout most of recorded history Asia (embodying the biggest share of the world’s population) has enjoyed the biggest share of the world’s economy, with three of the four largest economies in the world by 2050 (in the respective order: China; USA; India; Japan) envisaged by a Goldman Sachs BRICs study to be Asian, he continues, when claiming that: “Japan surged ahead of the rest of Asia because it understood the message of Western success [brought about by the Industrial Revolution] almost a hundred and fifty years earlier”; the Japanese (Meiji reformers) “were willing to consider Western best practices from any country and were prepared to mix and match policies in an eclectic fashion”; and adding that “the Chinese had learned from Singapore, and Singapore from Japan” [1: 51-52, 77-78]. The so-called “new Asian Great Game” (Mahbubani, 2011 cited in [2: 291]) refers to the “geoeconomics (“traditionally” alias soft power) versus geopolitics (“traditionally” alias hard power)” challenge: “The most severe challenge facing rising powers in Asia in particular is the growing severity of natural resource constraints, especially land and water, which are not easily amenable to technological solutions and which (unlike energy) cannot be augmented by trade” [2: 309]. As formulated by Staněk [3] the current Fourth Industrial Revolution mirrors the society, revealing the (il)logic of today’s architecture of the society; the question, therefore, is if we are willing to accept this fact and if we are aware of the necessity of changes, and as individual civilisation models react differently to the same conditions (namely, differences in languages, history and society affect the implementation as well as impact of technological changes), it is essential to comprehend the mutual impact of the speed of technological changes and the speed of adaptation both of society and individuals. Thus, a “smart power” dimension arises – in the case of Japan represented by its Society 5.0 concept [4: 119-122]. The more inclusive format of G20 (designated since the latest global financial crisis as “the world’s “premier forum” for economic cooperation”) “is playing a mid-field game: facilitating discussion while standing by for (rare) emergencies. This operational model more closely mirrors Asian than Western approaches to governance, and may be a harbinger of change in the global system” as Dobson & Petri [5: 261, 273-274] perceive it. Hence, along with illustration in a comparative case study (Japan and the Slovak Republic) addressing the United Nations SDG 11 (Sustainable cities and communities), we focus on the 28-29 June 2019 G20 Osaka Summit in terms of the prospect of a know-how transfer in the OECD context.
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