中央银行对失业和贫困的评估:以尼日利亚为例

P. Eke
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文使用折衷回归技术评估了1980年至2017年中央银行货币政策对尼日利亚生活水平的影响。结果表明,失业率增长对政策利率和货币供应正敏感。人均收入对警察费率负敏感,这表明政策没有解决影响价格快速变化的结构性弱点。因此,该研究未能拒绝央行政策可能加剧尼日利亚失业和贫困的假设。该报告建议将政策利率维持在个位数的中间水平;指数化工资制度;并通过各种途径停止货币供应。
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An assessment of central banking on unemployment and poverty: The case of Nigeria
This paper assesses the impact of Central Bank monetary policies on living standards in Nigeria from 1980 to 2017, using eclectic regression techniques. The outcome reveals that unemployment growth is positively sensitive to policy rates and money supply. Per capita income is negatively sensitive to police rate, which suggests that policies do not address structural weaknesses that influence rapid price variations. The study thus fails to reject the hypothesis that Central Banking policies may be accentuating unemployment and poverty in Nigeria. The paper recommends low policy rate possibly at the middle of single digit; an indexed-wage system; and stoppage of money supply through ways and means.
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