刚果民主共和国的消费、公共支出、投资和生产。回旋镖效应分析

Gaylord Mindongo, Bobo B. Kabungu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

除其他事项外,宏观经济分析对主要总量之间的关系感兴趣,以便指导决策者如何利用一个变量对另一个变量采取行动并取得预期的结果。这项研究属于这一观点。利用结构自回归向量(SVAR),实证验证了1960 - 2015年刚果经济消费、公共支出、固定资本形成总额与GDP之间的反馈效应。它表明,影响因变量而异,时间会修改短期结果,经济理论更符合刚果民主共和国的长期现实。
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Consommation, dépenses publiques, investissements et production en RDC. Analyse des effets boomerang
Macroeconomic analysis is interested, among other things, in the relationships between the main aggregates in order to guide the decision-maker as to the use of one variable to act on another and achieve the expected results. This study falls within this perspective. Using the Structural Autoregressive Vector (SVAR), it empirically verifies, for data from 1960 to 2015, the feedback effects between consumption, public expenditure, gross fixed capital formation and GDP of the Congolese economy. It shows that the influences differ from one variable to another and that time modifies the short-term results, the economic theories being more in tune with the long-term realities in the DRC.
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