政府政策对股票价格的影响:以Nepse为例

Ganesh Prasad Niraula
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究的目的是找出政府政策对尼泊尔证券交易所(NEPSE)价格变动的关系。本研究遵循案例研究的研究设计,因为它提供了一个更深入的视角和更清晰的了解尼泊尔合资银行的股价走势。本研究的样本量包括五家合资商业银行,尼泊尔中央银行(尼泊尔拉斯特拉银行)进行的经济分析和调查报告。采用判断抽样法对合资银行进行选择。这项研究完全基于二手数据。为了进行适当的分析,使用SPSS软件26版进行描述性统计和推理统计。本研究发现GDP、进口与股价变动呈负相关,而CRR、出口、利率和通货膨胀与股价变动呈正相关。进一步,我们发现宏观经济变量是决定尼泊尔股票价格变动的关键因素。更重要的是,人们发现股市对政府政策的变化反应显著。建议CRR,出口,利率和通货膨胀是影响NEPSE股价走势的主要因素。国内生产总值和进口与股价波动呈负相关,与股价波动呈负相关。
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Effects of Government's Policy in Stock Price: A Case of Nepse
The purpose of this study is to find out the relationship of government's policy on the price movement of Nepal stock exchange (NEPSE). This study followed a case study research design, because it offers a deeper perspective and clearer understanding of the stock price movement of Nepalese joint venture banks. The sample size of this study consists of five joint venture commercial Banks, economic analysis and survey reports conducted by central bank of Nepal (Nepal Rastra Bank).The judgmental sampling method has been applied for selection of joint venture banks. The study was totally based on secondary data. in order to make proper analysis descriptive and inferential statistics were used using SPSS software version 26. The finding of this study revealed that the GDP and import are inversely associated with stock price movement and CRR, export, interest rate and inflation are positively associated with stock price movement. Further, it is found that the macroeconomic variables are key factors to determine the Nepalese stock price movement. More importantly, stock market has been found to respond significantly to changes in the government policy. It is recommended that CRR, EXPORT, INTEREST RATE and INFLATION are major factors which largely affect the stock price movement of NEPSE. GDP and IMPORT are not compliance with the stock price movement as they produce negative association with the stocks volatility.
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