Shahd A Mohammedain, Saif Badran, AbdelNaser Y Elzouki, Halla Salim, Ayesha Chalaby, Mya Siddiqui, Yehia Y Hussein, Hanan Abdul Rahim, Lukman Thalib, Mohammed Fasihul Alam, Daoud Al-Badriyeh, Sumaya Al-Maadeed, Suhail Ar Doi
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Validation of a risk prediction model for COVID-19: the PERIL prospective cohort study.
Aim: This study aims to perform an external validation of a recently developed prognostic model for early prediction of the risk of progression to severe COVID-19. Patients & methods/materials: Patients were recruited at their initial diagnosis at two facilities within Hamad Medical Corporation in Qatar. 356 adults were included for analysis. Predictors for progression of COVID-19 were all measured at disease onset and first contact with the health system. Results: The C statistic was 83% (95% CI: 78%-87%) and the calibration plot showed that the model was well-calibrated. Conclusion: The published prognostic model for the progression of COVID-19 infection showed satisfactory discrimination and calibration and the model is easy to apply in clinical practice.d.
期刊介绍：
Future Virology is a peer-reviewed journal that delivers essential information in concise, at-a-glance article formats. Key advances in the field are reported and analyzed by international experts, providing an authoritative but accessible forum for this ever-expanding area of research. It is an interdisciplinary forum for all scientists working in the field today.
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