拉丁美洲中小城市拼车服务可持续性的风险与机遇:分析出行利益相关者的看法

Brenda Medeiros Pereira , Alejandro Ruiz-Padillo
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摘要

拼车服务在世界各地的城市迅速扩张。在没有事先规划的情况下实施,或者没有明确的管理和检查规则,可能会对城市交通产生负面影响,同时也会带来没有以最佳方式利用的机会。然而,很少有研究衡量这些服务对城市交通的影响。目前存在的几家公司的目标都是发达国家的大城市。这项工作旨在衡量在拉丁美洲小城市引入基于应用程序的交通所带来的风险和机遇。提出了一种混合定性定量分析方法,采用模糊逻辑支持的不确定性建模,并将其应用于巴西南部城市南卡乔埃拉的案例研究。调查结果显示,人们对使用拼车服务持积极态度,认为机会高于风险,尤其是与移动服务的新选择相关的机会。除了拼车服务与公共交通和出租车的竞争外,与城市交通协调的规划、管理和运营相关的风险也很突出。本研究的结果应有助于为拉丁美洲小城市的拼车服务制定适当的公共政策。
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Risks and opportunities for the sustainability of ridesourcing services in Latin-American small and medium-sized cities: Analyzing perceptions of stakeholders of mobility

Ridesourcing services are rapidly expanding in cities around the world. Their implementation in the absence of prior planning of the operation, or without clear rules for management and inspection, can generate negative impacts on urban mobility, as well as opportunities that are not taken advantage of in the best way. However, there are few studies that have measured the impacts of these services on mobility in cities. The ones that exist have targeted large cities in developed countries. This work aims to measure the risks and opportunities created by the insertion of application-based transport in Latin-American small-sized cities. The use of a hybrid qualitative-quantitative analysis methodology is proposed, with uncertainty modeling supported by fuzzy logic, which was applied in a case study of Cachoeira do Sul, a city located in Southern Brazil. The results revealed a positive perception of the use of ridesourcing services, with opportunities being rated higher than risks, especially related to new options for mobility services. The risks associated with the planning, management, and operation of coordinated urban mobility stood out, in addition to those concerning the competition of ridesourcing services with public transport and taxis. The results obtained here should assist in the formulation of appropriate public policies for ridesourcing services in small Latin-American cities.

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