“一带一路”倡议是否吸引了其他国家的跨境投资?

Chaoqun Zhan, Hanxi Wang, Chenxue Hou
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摘要

摘要本文探讨了“一带一路”倡议如何影响非“一带一路”国家向“一带一路”沿线国家(“一带一路”国家)的跨境资本流入。我们对通过倾向得分匹配构建的对照组进行了差中差估计。我们发现,“一带一路”倡议显著减少了非“一带一路”国家对“一带一路”国家的贸易往来。结果对于各种关注点和规范都是健壮的。我们发现了推动这一结果的两个重要机制:“一带一路”国家内部cma的增加和潜在的债务风险。我们还发现了不同国家之间的异质性效应。
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Does Belt and Road Initiative attract Cross‐Border M&As from other countries?
Abstract This article examines how the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) affects Cross‐Border M&As (CMAs) inflows to countries along the Belt and Road routes (BRI countries) from non‐BRI countries. We conduct a difference‐in‐differences estimation with a control group constructed through propensity score matching. We find that the BRI significantly reduces CMAs from non‐BRI countries to BRI countries. The results are robust to various concerns and specifications. We uncover two important mechanisms driving the results: the increased CMAs within BRI countries and the potential debt risks. We also find heterogeneous effects across countries.
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