减轻撒哈拉以南非洲流行病的影响:财政和货币政策是互补的还是相互矛盾的?

IF 2.7 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS International Journal of Emerging Markets Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI:10.1108/ijoem-04-2023-0503
Olumide O. Olaoye, Mulatu F. Zerihun
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究考察了财政和货币政策在撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)减少贫困方面的作用,同时考虑了宏观经济的破坏。该研究特别审查了财政和货币政策在减轻冲击和减少贫困方面的互补性。设计/方法/方法本研究采用固定效应(回归内)模型来考虑国家具体特征,并采用横截面依赖-一致模型来控制面板数据建模中的潜在横截面。该研究使用虚拟变量方法来解释宏观经济冲击。作者将2008年、2014年和2020年定为1年;其他方面分别用于应对全球金融危机、大宗商品贸易条件冲击和2019冠状病毒病大流行。研究发现,财政政策(特别是政府在卫生和教育方面的支出)在减少社会保障地区的贫困水平方面具有更大的能力。研究结果还表明,财政政策和货币政策可以协同工作,以减少大流行的负面影响。然而,研究发现了货币政策的最优阈值水平,超过该阈值,货币政策就会降低财政政策减少贫困的有效性。讨论了研究和政策意义。与以往的研究不同,这项研究在货币/财政政策和贫困文献中解释了宏观经济冲击的影响。
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Mitigating the effects of a pandemic in sub-Saharan Africa: are fiscal and monetary policy complementary or contradictory?
Purpose The study examined the roles of fiscal and monetary policy in reducing poverty in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), while accounting for macroeconomic disruptions. In particular, the study examined the complementarity of fiscal and monetary policy to mitigate shocks and reduce poverty in SSA. Design/methodology/approach The study adopts the fixed effect (within regression) model to account for country-specific characteristics, and a cross-sectional dependence – consistent model to control for the potential cross-sectional in panel data modelling. The study used the dummy variable approach to account for the macroeconomic shocks. The authors assigned 1 to the following years – 2008, 2014 and 2020; and 0 otherwise to take care of the global financial crisis, commodity terms of trade shocks and the COVID-19 pandemic respectively. Findings The study found that fiscal policy (particularly, government spending on health and education) has the greater capacity to reduce the level of poverty in SSA. The results also indicate that fiscal policy and monetary policy can work in tandem to reduce the negative effects of a pandemic. However, the study found an optimal threshold level of monetary policy beyond which monetary policy reduces the effectiveness of fiscal policy to reduce poverty in SSA. The research and policy implications are discussed. Originality/value The study, unlike previous studies, accounts for the impact of macroeconomic shocks in the monetary/fiscal policy and poverty literature.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.90
自引率
14.80%
发文量
206
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