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Comparative analysis of aggregate and sectoral time-varying market efficiency in the Russian stock market during the COVID-19 outbreak and the Russia–Ukraine conflict (RUC) COVID-19 爆发和俄乌冲突 (RUC) 期间俄罗斯股票市场总体和部门时变市场效率的比较分析
IF 2.7 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1108/ijoem-07-2023-1195
Muhammad Rehan, Jahanzaib Alvi, Umair Lakhani

Purpose

The primary purpose of this research is to identify and compare the multifractal behavior of different sectors during these crises and analyze their implications on market efficiency.

Design/methodology/approach

We used multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA) to analyze stock returns from various sectors of the Moscow Stock Exchange (MOEX) in between two significant periods. The COVID-19 pandemic (January 1, 2020, to December 31, 2021) and the Russia–Ukraine conflict (RUC) (January 1, 2022, to June 30, 2023). This method witnesses multifractality in financial time series data and tests the persistency and efficiency levels of each sector to provide meaningful insights.

Findings

Results showcased persistent multifractal behavior across all sectors in between the COVID-19 pandemic and the RUC, spotting heightened arbitrage opportunities in the MOEX. The pandemic reported a greater speculative behavior, with the telecommunication and oil and gas sectors exhibiting reduced efficiency, recommending abnormal return potential. In contrast, financials and metals and mining sectors displayed increased efficiency, witnessing strong economic performance. Findings may enhance understanding of market dynamics during crises and provide strategic insights for the MOEX’s investors.

Practical implications

Understanding the multifractal properties and efficiency of different sectors during crisis periods is of paramount importance for investors and policymakers. The identified arbitrage opportunities and efficiency variations can aid investors in optimizing their investment strategies during such critical market conditions. Policymakers can also leverage these insights to implement measures that bolster economic stability and development during crisis periods.

Originality/value

This research contributes to the existing body of knowledge by providing a comprehensive analysis of multifractal properties and efficiency in the context of the MOEX during two major crises. The application of MF-DFA to sectoral stock returns during these events adds originality to the study. The findings offer valuable implications for practitioners, researchers and policymakers seeking to navigate financial markets during turbulent times and enhance overall market resilience.

目的本研究的主要目的是识别和比较不同行业在这些危机期间的多分形行为,并分析其对市场效率的影响。COVID-19 大流行(2020 年 1 月 1 日至 2021 年 12 月 31 日)和俄乌冲突(RUC)(2022 年 1 月 1 日至 2023 年 6 月 30 日)。结果结果显示,在 COVID-19 大流行和俄乌冲突之间,所有行业都存在持续的多分形行为,发现了 MOEX 中更多的套利机会。大流行报告了更多的投机行为,其中电信和石油天然气行业表现出效率降低,建议关注异常回报潜力。相比之下,金融、金属和采矿行业的效率有所提高,经济表现强劲。研究结果可加深对危机期间市场动态的理解,并为 MOEX 的投资者提供战略启示。实际意义了解危机期间不同行业的多分形属性和效率对投资者和政策制定者至关重要。所发现的套利机会和效率变化有助于投资者在这种关键市场条件下优化投资策略。本研究对两次重大危机期间 MOEX 的多分形属性和效率进行了全面分析,为现有知识体系做出了贡献。在这些事件中,将 MF-DFA 应用于部门股票回报的做法为本研究增添了新意。研究结果为从业人员、研究人员和政策制定者在动荡时期驾驭金融市场和增强市场整体复原力提供了宝贵的启示。
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引用次数: 0
Run, not walk: advanced red queen effect and mutual forbearance effect in multimarket contact 跑,而不是走:多市场接触中的高级红娘效应和相互忍让效应
IF 2.7 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1108/ijoem-06-2021-0891
Yu-Ching Chiao, Chun-Chien Lin, Yu-Chen Chang

Purpose

This study explores the evolutionary relationship between multimarket contact (MMC) and competitive actions among multinational corporations (MNCs). It aims to enhance the understanding of international market competition by incorporating insights into dynamic competition and parent–subsidiary relationships.

Design/methodology/approach

A structured content analysis was used to identify the competitive actions of global shipping liners. The dataset includes 8,204 actions identified across nine global arenas. Data were collected from 6,553 monthly news articles on Alphaliner. The period covered is from January 1, 2015, to June 30, 2023.

Findings

The results indicate that a higher degree of MMC leads to greater competitive aggressiveness, supporting the combination of mutual forbearance and the Red Queen effect. Additionally, market importance triggers the mutual forbearance effect, whereas competitive rivalry is weaker for overlapping cross-market contacts. Furthermore, local competitive intensity increases MNCs' contact and echoes the Red Queen effect, especially for subsidiaries facing increasing pressure from local responsiveness.

Research limitations/implications

Limitations include reliance on Alphaliner, potential inaccuracies from proxy variables, and unmeasured headquarters–subsidiary interactions. Future research should explore other industries and extend the study period for broader applicability and generalization.

Practical implications

By interlacing mutual forbearance with the Red Queen effect within a coopetition framework, managers can devise strategies to balance competition and collaboration, thereby ensuring long-term viability and growth in global markets.

Originality/value

This study extends the concept of MMC to the context of global shipping liners, a previously underexplored sector. Unlike earlier research, this study empirically examines MMC dynamics globally and integrates mutual forbearance and the Red Queen effect.

目的 本研究探讨了多市场接触(MMC)与跨国公司(MNCs)竞争行为之间的演变关系。设计/方法/途径采用结构化内容分析法来识别全球航运公司的竞争行为。数据集包括全球九大领域的 8,204 项行动。数据收集自 Alphaliner 上的 6,553 篇月度新闻报道。研究结果表明,MMC程度越高,竞争侵略性越强,这支持了相互忍让和红皇后效应的结合。此外,市场重要性会引发相互忍让效应,而跨市场重叠接触会削弱竞争。研究局限性/意义局限性包括对 Alphaliner 的依赖、替代变量可能带来的不准确性以及未测量的总部-子公司互动。通过在合作竞争框架内将相互忍让与红皇后效应相结合,管理者可以制定平衡竞争与合作的战略,从而确保在全球市场上的长期生存能力和增长。与之前的研究不同,本研究在全球范围内对多方市场管理机制的动态进行了实证研究,并整合了相互忍让和红皇后效应。
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引用次数: 0
Revisiting oil-stock nexus in the time of health crisis: a wavelet approach 在健康危机时期重新审视石油与股票的关系:一种小波方法
IF 2.7 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1108/ijoem-12-2021-1864
Pamphile Mezui-Mbeng, Eugene Kouassi, Afees Salisu, Loukou Landry Eric Yobouet

Purpose

The paper aims at analyzing the co-movements between stock returns and oil prices (West Texas Intermediate, Brent) controlling or not for COVID-19.

Design/methodology/approach

It uses continuous wavelet transforms and wavelet coherence over the period July 19, 2019 to August 16, 2021 based on daily data. Continuous wavelet transforms provide an over complete representation of stock returns signals by letting the translation and scale parameters of the wavelets vary continuously.

Findings

There are not significant evidence supporting the fact that the COVID-19 has altered the relationship between stock returns and oil prices except perhaps in the case of South Africa. In fact, Southern African Development Community stock markets react more to oil prices than to health shock such as the COVID-19.

Originality/value

The findings of the study are original and have not been published anywhere prior.

目的本文旨在分析股票收益率与油价(西德克萨斯中质油,布伦特油)之间的共同运动,是否控制了 COVID-19。设计/方法/途径本文基于每日数据,使用了 2019 年 7 月 19 日至 2021 年 8 月 16 日期间的连续小波变换和小波相干性。连续小波变换通过让小波的平移和尺度参数连续变化,提供了股票收益信号的过度完整表示。事实上,南部非洲发展共同体股票市场对石油价格的反应大于对 COVID-19 等健康冲击的反应。
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引用次数: 0
Rhetorical strategies in the climate change disclosures of Bangladeshi banking companies 孟加拉国银行公司披露气候变化信息的修辞策略
IF 2.7 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1108/ijoem-08-2023-1365
Dewan Mahboob Hossain, Mohammed Mehadi Masud Mazumder, Md. Saiful Alam

Purpose

The main objective of this article is to explore the rhetorical persuasive strategies in the climate change-related disclosures of the annual reports of Bangladeshi banking companies.

Design/methodology/approach

To fulfil this objective, content and rhetorical analyses are conducted on the climate change-related disclosures in the annual reports of Bangladeshi banks. The analysis is interpreted with the help of Aristotle’s rhetorical appeals (ethos, logos and pathos).

Findings

Evidence suggests that Bangladeshi banks disclose climate change-related issues in annual reports. These issues include demonstrating a genuine concern for climate change and exhibiting commitment to green finance and investment, paper and energy conservation, tree plantation, biodiversity and climate change risk funds. They also underscore challenges linked to carbon emissions, air pollution, and natural disasters. These disclosures are persuasive, and rhetorical strategies such as ethos, logos, and pathos are evident. However, the disclosures lacked consistency and comparability because of the absence of reporting regulations and a prescribed framework.

Practical implications

This study informs managers and policymakers about climate change disclosures in Bangladesh, particularly within the banking industry. The research suggests the need for improved reporting consistency and comparability, potentially achieved through standardised climate change reporting guidelines and mandatory requirements.

Originality/value

This paper’s uniqueness lies in its application of Aristotle’s rhetorical triangle to enhance our understanding of how banking companies in a developing economy strategically employ climate change-related disclosures to influence readers. Rhetorical analysis is limitedly used by accounting scholars in analysing corporate climate-change disclosures.

为了实现这一目标,我们对孟加拉国银行年度报告中与气候变化相关的披露内容进行了内容和修辞分析。研究结果有证据表明,孟加拉国银行在年度报告中披露了与气候变化相关的问题。这些问题包括对气候变化的真正关注,以及对绿色金融和投资、节约用纸和能源、植树造林、生物多样性和气候变化风险基金的承诺。它们还强调了与碳排放、空气污染和自然灾害有关的挑战。这些披露具有说服力,ethos、logos 和 pathos 等修辞策略也很明显。然而,由于缺乏报告法规和规定框架,这些披露缺乏一致性和可比性。 实际意义本研究为孟加拉国,尤其是银行业的管理人员和政策制定者提供了有关气候变化披露的信息。研究表明,有必要提高报告的一致性和可比性,可通过标准化的气候变化报告指南和强制性要求来实现。 本文的独特之处在于应用了亚里士多德的修辞三角理论,以加深我们对发展中经济体的银行公司如何战略性地利用气候变化相关信息披露来影响读者的理解。会计学者在分析企业气候变化信息披露时,很少使用修辞分析法。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring panic buying as a situational response – the role of fear, media exposure and context-specific paranoia 探讨恐慌性购买作为一种情境反应--恐惧、媒体曝光和特定情境妄想症的作用
IF 2.7 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1108/ijoem-09-2022-1407
Matej Nakić, Mirna Koričan Lajtman, Goran Oblaković

Purpose

Drawing on prospect theory, terror management theory, and social influence theories, this study explores the phenomenon of panic buying amid the COVID-19 pandemic, namely its situational antecedents such as fear of COVID-19, increased media exposure to COVID-19-related news, and context-specific paranoia. It offers insight into the situational nature of panic buying, contrary to the purely dispositional/trait conceptualization of irrational spending, usually depicted through the phenomenon of compulsive buying.

Design/methodology/approach

This is a cross-sectional study. An online questionnaire was used for data collection from 621 Croatian citizens. The questionnaire features a series of validated instruments designed to measure compulsive buying, fear of COVID-19, and context-specific paranoia. The media exposure scale (MES) was also specifically developed and empirically tested for the purpose of this research.

Findings

The results suggest that individuals who exhibited greater fear of COVID-19 while also experiencing increased exposure to COVID-19-related news were more likely to engage in panic buying. This connection has remained significant even after controlling for compulsive buying tendencies, suggesting that panic buying witnessed during the coronavirus pandemic was a situational phenomenon, not strictly dispositional. This establishes the fear of COVID-19 and increased exposure to pandemic-related news content as situational antecedents to panic buying. After controlling for compulsive buying, this paper does not demonstrate a significant connection between context-specific paranoia and panic buying. Furthermore, context-specific paranoia does not mediate the relationship between media exposure to pandemic-related content and panic buying, whereas the fear of COVID-19 significantly mediates the same relationship.

Practical implications

This study recognizes people's panic behavior amid the COVID-19 pandemic as a byproduct of a situational, reactive process – not a psychopathological one. Furthermore, it recognizes media sensationalism and the audience's impaired capacity for rational spending as major risk factors preceding the event of panic buying.

Originality/value

This study proposes a novel conceptual framework of irrational spending amid crises such as COVID-19 pandemic, introducing the differentiation between the situational nature of the phenomenon (panic buying), thereby separating it from its previous dispositional operationalizations (hoarding, compulsive buying).

目的本研究以前景理论、恐怖管理理论和社会影响理论为基础,探讨了在 COVID-19 大流行中出现的恐慌性购买现象,即其情境前因,如对 COVID-19 的恐惧、媒体对 COVID-19 相关新闻曝光率的增加以及特定情境下的偏执。与通常通过强迫性购买现象来描述非理性消费的纯粹倾向性/特质概念相反,本研究深入探讨了恐慌性购买的情境性质。研究采用在线问卷调查的方式收集了 621 名克罗地亚公民的数据。该问卷采用了一系列经过验证的工具,旨在测量强迫性购买、对 COVID-19 的恐惧以及特定情境下的偏执。研究结果表明,对 COVID-19 表现出更大恐惧的人,同时接触到更多与 COVID-19 相关的新闻,更有可能进行恐慌性购买。即使在控制了强迫性购买倾向后,这种联系仍然很明显,这表明冠状病毒大流行期间出现的恐慌性购买是一种情景现象,而非严格意义上的倾向性购买。这就确定了对 COVID-19 的恐惧和更多地接触与疫情相关的新闻内容是恐慌性购买的情境前因。在对强迫性购买进行控制后,本文并未证明特定情境下的偏执狂与恐慌性购买之间存在显著联系。此外,特定情境下的妄想症并不能调节媒体对大流行病相关内容的曝光与恐慌性购买之间的关系,而对 COVID-19 的恐惧则能显著调节两者之间的关系。此外,该研究还认为媒体的煽情报道和受众理性消费能力的受损是恐慌性购买事件发生前的主要风险因素。原创性/价值该研究提出了一个新颖的概念框架,即在COVID-19大流行等危机中的非理性消费,引入了该现象(恐慌性购买)的情境性质之间的区别,从而将其与之前的处置操作(囤积、强迫性购买)区分开来。
{"title":"Exploring panic buying as a situational response – the role of fear, media exposure and context-specific paranoia","authors":"Matej Nakić, Mirna Koričan Lajtman, Goran Oblaković","doi":"10.1108/ijoem-09-2022-1407","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ijoem-09-2022-1407","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>Drawing on prospect theory, terror management theory, and social influence theories, this study explores the phenomenon of panic buying amid the COVID-19 pandemic, namely its situational antecedents such as fear of COVID-19, increased media exposure to COVID-19-related news, and context-specific paranoia. It offers insight into the situational nature of panic buying, contrary to the purely dispositional/trait conceptualization of irrational spending, usually depicted through the phenomenon of compulsive buying.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>This is a cross-sectional study. An online questionnaire was used for data collection from 621 Croatian citizens. The questionnaire features a series of validated instruments designed to measure compulsive buying, fear of COVID-19, and context-specific paranoia. The media exposure scale (MES) was also specifically developed and empirically tested for the purpose of this research.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>The results suggest that individuals who exhibited greater fear of COVID-19 while also experiencing increased exposure to COVID-19-related news were more likely to engage in panic buying. This connection has remained significant even after controlling for compulsive buying tendencies, suggesting that panic buying witnessed during the coronavirus pandemic was a situational phenomenon, not strictly dispositional. This establishes the fear of COVID-19 and increased exposure to pandemic-related news content as situational antecedents to panic buying. After controlling for compulsive buying, this paper does not demonstrate a significant connection between context-specific paranoia and panic buying. Furthermore, context-specific paranoia does not mediate the relationship between media exposure to pandemic-related content and panic buying, whereas the fear of COVID-19 significantly mediates the same relationship.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Practical implications</h3>\u0000<p>This study recognizes people's panic behavior amid the COVID-19 pandemic as a byproduct of a situational, reactive process – not a psychopathological one. Furthermore, it recognizes media sensationalism and the audience's impaired capacity for rational spending as major risk factors preceding the event of panic buying.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>This study proposes a novel conceptual framework of irrational spending amid crises such as COVID-19 pandemic, introducing the differentiation between the situational nature of the phenomenon (panic buying), thereby separating it from its previous dispositional operationalizations (hoarding, compulsive buying).</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":47381,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Emerging Markets","volume":"23 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2024-08-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141944122","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Relative, absolute or combined strength momentum strategies: what works for India? 相对、绝对或综合实力动量战略:什么对印度有效?
IF 2.7 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1108/ijoem-09-2023-1518
Sanjay Sehgal, Asheesh Pandey, Swapna Sen

Purpose

In the present study, we investigate whether enhanced momentum strategies outperform price momentum strategies and if they show greater resilience and stability under adverse market conditions. We also examine if such strategies are explained by prominent asset pricing models or are a result of behavioral mispricing.

Design/methodology/approach

Data consist of the equity shares of all companies listed on National Stock Exchange over the study period. To check the efficacy of enhanced momentum over price momentum, six momentum strategies have been designed and their raw as well as risk-adjusted returns using multi-factor models have been observed. Behavioral mispricing has been examined by constructing an investor attention index. Finally, few robustness tests have been performed to confirm the results.

Findings

We find that an enhanced momentum strategy which combines relative and absolute strength momentum outperforms conventional price momentum strategy in India. We also demonstrate that rational pricing models are not able to explain momentum profits for any of the strategies. Finally, we observe that investor overreaction is the possible explanation of momentum profits in India. Thus, our results confirm the role of behavioral mispricing in explaining momentum returns.

Originality/value

Our research is the first major attempt to study enhanced momentum strategies in the Indian context. We experiment with several new enhanced momentum strategies which have not been explored in prior literature. The findings have strong implications for global portfolio managers who wish to design profitable trading strategies.

目的 在本研究中,我们调查了增强动量策略是否优于价格动量策略,以及在不利市场条件下是否表现出更大的弹性和稳定性。我们还研究了这些策略是否可以用著名的资产定价模型来解释,或者是否是行为错误定价的结果。数据包括研究期间在国家证券交易所上市的所有公司的股票。为了检验增强动量相对于价格动量的有效性,我们设计了六种动量策略,并使用多因子模型对其原始收益和风险调整收益进行了观察。通过构建投资者注意力指数,对行为错误定价进行了检验。最后,我们还进行了一些稳健性测试以确认结果。研究结果我们发现,在印度,结合了相对和绝对强势动量的增强型动量策略优于传统的价格动量策略。我们还证明,合理定价模型无法解释任何策略的动量利润。最后,我们发现投资者的过度反应可能是印度动量利润的原因。因此,我们的研究结果证实了行为错误定价在解释动量收益中的作用。原创性/价值我们的研究是在印度背景下研究增强动量策略的首次重大尝试。我们尝试了几种新的增强型动量策略,这些策略在之前的文献中从未探讨过。研究结果对希望设计有利可图的交易策略的全球投资组合经理具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Entrepreneurial and international? The role of entrepreneurial orientation in the Brazilian franchises’ internationalization process 创业和国际化?创业导向在巴西特许经营国际化进程中的作用
IF 2.7 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1108/ijoem-01-2024-0171
Matheus Dermonde, Bruno Brandão Fischer, Gustavo Hermínio Salati Marcondes de Moraes

Purpose

We investigate the relationship between Entrepreneurial Orientation (EO) and the internationalization pathways of Brazilian franchises. Our aim is to unravel the patterns of firm-level entrepreneurial characteristics vis-à-vis their corresponding processes of internationalization.

Design/methodology/approach

We extracted and curated data from the directories of the Brazilian Franchising Association (ABF). Additionally, we scrutinized the International Intensity, International Complexity and EO degree of 27 Brazilian franchises engaged in international activities. Associations between these dimensions were assessed through fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA).

Findings

Our findings suggest that franchisees can enhance their international activities by adopting various configurations of EO attributes. This discovery illuminates the intricacies of EO and its association with firms’ operations and performance. Accordingly, we empirically demonstrate that EO is not a monolithic element. Instead, it should be perceived as a multifaceted and dynamic construct.

Originality/value

This study aimed to examine the internationalization process of franchises through the EO lens, a perspective that has not been explored in the existing literature. This unique approach offers novel insights about the internationalization processes of this particular business model. Furthermore, our research delves into the intricate relationship between firm-level EO and the trajectories of firm-level internationalization.

目的我们研究了创业导向(EO)与巴西特许经营国际化途径之间的关系。我们从巴西特许经营协会(ABF)的目录中提取并整理了数据。此外,我们还仔细研究了 27 家从事国际活动的巴西特许经营企业的国际强度、国际复杂性和 EO 程度。我们的研究结果表明,特许经营企业可以通过采用不同的EO属性配置来加强其国际活动。这一发现揭示了EO的复杂性及其与企业运营和绩效的关联。因此,我们从经验上证明,企业运营不是一个单一的要素。原创性/价值本研究旨在通过EO视角研究特许经营的国际化进程,而现有文献尚未从这一视角进行探讨。这种独特的方法为这一特殊商业模式的国际化进程提供了新颖的见解。此外,我们的研究还深入探讨了企业层面的EO与企业层面的国际化轨迹之间错综复杂的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Examining the existence of twin deficits in Bolivia 研究玻利维亚是否存在双赤字问题
IF 2.7 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-07-29 DOI: 10.1108/ijoem-01-2023-0043
Fabiola Saavedra-Caballero, Alfredo Villca

Purpose

We examine the twin deficits and the direction of its movement for the case of Bolivia, a natural resource-dependent country, using the database of (Kehoe et al., 2019) from 1960 to 2019.

Design/methodology/approach

We combine a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model with a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to understand the transmission mechanisms.

Findings

Our results suggest the existence of twin deficits in Bolivia; however, causality in the Mundell-Fleming sense does not hold. While fiscal policy shocks explain current account deficits, current account shocks have a stronger effect over fiscal deficit. In fact, only 23% of the variance of current account forecast errors is explained by fiscal policy shocks; in contrast, 45% of the variance of the fiscal deficit is explained by current account shocks.

Research limitations/implications

The study is for a specific case, which is a limitation; however, other country samples can be included.

Practical implications

Based on the results of the work, policies can be recommended and designed to cushion the effects of external shocks.

Originality/value

According to the literature available for the Bolivian case, our work constitutes a significant contribution and, therefore, is original for this specific case.

目的我们利用(Kehoe et al.,2019)的数据库研究了玻利维亚(一个自然资源依赖型国家)从 1960 年到 2019 年的双赤字及其变动方向。虽然财政政策冲击可以解释经常账户赤字,但经常账户冲击对财政赤字的影响更大。事实上,财政政策冲击只解释了 23% 的经常账户预测误差方差;相比之下,经常账户冲击解释了 45% 的财政赤字方差。原创性/价值根据有关玻利维亚案例的现有文献,我们的工作是一项重大贡献,因此,对于这一特定案例而言,我们的工作具有原创性。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of foreign direct investment on economic growth in Afghanistan: an empirical insight 外国直接投资对阿富汗经济增长的影响:实证分析
IF 2.7 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.1108/ijoem-04-2023-0666
Mohamed Asmy Mohd Thas Thaker, Baryalai Baryal, Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary

Purpose

This paper examines the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on the economic growth of Afghanistan over the period 1990 to 2019.

Design/methodology/approach

This study uses an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) to measure FDI’s impact on economic growth and determine the short- vs long-run relationship.

Findings

The results show that the F-bound cointegration test confirms the long-run relationship among the variables. The long-run and short-run results reveal that foreign direct investment has a significant negative impact on economic growth in the long run. However, domestic investment and labour force have a significant and positive impact on economic growth in the long run. Moreover, the impact of trade openness on economic growth is insignificant in the long run, while it has a significant negative impact in the short run.

Originality/value

In this study, we contribute to this research area by analysing the function of FDI in economic growth from Afghanistan’s experience and perspectives. This is the first study empirically examining this relationship in Afghanistan while considering other selected macroeconomic indicators. This paper could greatly benefit policymakers in Afghanistan by guiding the formulation of FDI policies that would spur its economic growth and development.

本研究采用自回归分布滞后法(ARDL)来衡量外国直接投资对经济增长的影响,并确定短期与长期关系。研究结果表明,F 约束协整检验证实了变量之间的长期关系。长期和短期结果显示,从长期来看,外国直接投资对经济增长有显著的负面影响。然而,从长期来看,国内投资和劳动力对经济增长有显著的正向影响。此外,贸易开放度对经济增长的长期影响并不显著,但在短期内却有显著的负面影响。 原创性/价值在本研究中,我们从阿富汗的经验和视角分析了外国直接投资对经济增长的作用,为这一研究领域做出了贡献。这是第一份在考虑其他选定宏观经济指标的同时,对阿富汗的这种关系进行实证研究的报告。本文将对阿富汗的政策制定者大有裨益,指导他们制定能够刺激其经济增长和发展的外国直接投资政策。
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引用次数: 0
Between freedom and corruption: the interplay of total reserves during the COVID-19 epoch – a cross-country inquiry 自由与腐败之间:COVID-19 时代总储备金的相互作用--跨国调查
IF 2.7 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1108/ijoem-09-2023-1500
Omar Arabiat, Sally Abu-Asabeh, Hashem Alshurafat

Purpose

This study examines the function of total reserves in light of the relationship between the economic freedom index and the corruption perception index during the COVID-19 period over countries.

Design/methodology/approach

This analysis encompasses a sample of 102 nations, spanning the time period from 2020 to 2021, and draws data from several sources. By employing a random effects model, we are able to adequately address the potential influence of year-specific factors, including the effects of COVID-19, as well as country-specific disparities. This approach allows for a comprehensive examination of our primary variables, assuring a nuanced study.

Findings

The findings indicate that when economic freedom and reserves are examined separately, they tend to promote corruption. However, when these factors are studied together, they have a complementary effect in reducing corruption. The impact of the COVID-19 period further confirms the relationship, highlighting its substantial influence on the interplay between economic freedom, reserves, and corruption.

Research limitations/implications

The time frame spanning just two years and the sample limited to 102 nations may affect the generalizability of the findings. Therefore, there is a clear need for additional research to facilitate more comprehensive generalizations.

Originality/value

This study is notable for its distinctive examination of the function of Total Reserves in light of the association between the economic freedom index and the corruption perception index. Within the framework of the challenging COVID-19 era, this investigation offers novel perspectives on the intricate dynamics among economic freedom, reserves, and corruption perceptions.

本研究根据 COVID-19 期间各国经济自由度指数和腐败感知指数之间的关系,研究了总储备的功能。通过采用随机效应模型,我们能够充分考虑特定年份因素的潜在影响,包括 COVID-19 的影响以及特定国家的差异。研究结果研究结果表明,如果单独研究经济自由度和储备,它们往往会助长腐败。但是,如果将这两个因素放在一起研究,它们在减少腐败方面具有互补作用。COVID-19 期间的影响进一步证实了这一关系,凸显了其对经济自由、储备和腐败之间相互作用的重大影响。研究局限性/意义研究时间跨度仅为两年,样本仅限于 102 个国家,这可能会影响研究结果的普遍性。因此,显然有必要开展更多研究,以便进行更全面的归纳。本研究的显著特点是,它根据经济自由度指数和腐败感知指数之间的关联,对总储备的功能进行了独特的研究。在具有挑战性的 COVID-19 时代框架内,这项调查为经济自由、储备和腐败认知之间错综复杂的动态关系提供了新的视角。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Journal of Emerging Markets
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