两个不同冰川补给盆地径流变化特征及其气候因子

Sun Zhenqi, Wang Shijin, Li Zhongqin
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摘要

不同流域冰川的水文调节功能不同。以阳公河流域(YRB)和乌鲁木齐河流域(URB)为典型,采用Mann-Kendall检验和相关分析方法,探讨1979-2017年流域径流变化差异及其对气候因子的响应。近39 a来,长江流域年径流量呈现先增加后减少的不显著趋势。相比之下,市区总开支的增长趋势显著。20世纪80年代至2010年代,库区月径流极值出现时间较前提前,峰值减小。月径流极值出现的时间没有变化,但峰值在增加。1979 - 2017年,两个流域的年气温均呈上升趋势,且市区气温上升速度快于长江区。1979 - 2017年,两流域降水均未出现显著的增减趋势。汛期降水是影响库区径流变化的主要因素。气温升高导致冰川和积雪加速融化,再加上夏季降水的变化,导致市区径流增加。在冰川较多的陆相冰川流域,冰川对总径流量的调节作用更为显著。
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Characteristics of runoff changes and their climatic factors in two different glacier-fed basins
The hydrological regulation function of glaciers in different watersheds is different. This study took the Yanggong River Basin (YRB) and Urumqi River Basin (URB) as two typical cases, to explore the runoff change differences and their responses to climate factors during 1979-2017 using the Mann–Kendall test and correlation analysis method. In the past 39 years , the annual runoff in the YRB showed insignificant trend of increasing first and then decreasing. In contrast, the URB’s increasing trend was significant. In the YRB, from the 1980s to the 2010s, the monthly runoff extremum occurred earlier than before, and the peak value is decreased. The time of monthly runoff extremum in the URB has not changed, but the peak value is increasing. Both basins showed an increasing trend in the annual temperature from 1979 to 2017, and the temperature rise in the URB was faster than in the YRB. The precipitation in the two basins did not show a significant increase or decrease trend from 1979 to 2017. The main influencing factor of runoff change in the YRB is the precipitation during flood season. The temperature rise causes an accelerated melting of the glaciers and snow cover, which, in combination with the summer precipitation change, contributed to the increase of runoff in the URB. In continental glacier basins with many glaciers, the regulation function of glaciers on total runoff is more significant.
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