马来西亚半岛西海岸潮位趋势分析及海平面上升预测

IF 0.4 Q4 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY International Journal of Integrated Engineering Pub Date : 2023-08-28 DOI:10.30880/ijie.2023.15.04.028
Zarina Md Ali, Lai Wai Tan, Noor Aliza Ahmad, Sabariah Musa
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在全球范围内,由于人类造成的气候变化,海平面正在上升。当前和未来的海平面上升将产生各种影响,尤其是对沿海基础设施的影响。这项研究利用1986年至2012年间收集的潮位记录,分析了马来西亚半岛西海岸的潮位趋势和预测的海平面上升。采用季节性Mann-Kendall检验和线性趋势来确定潮汐水平随时间的变化趋势,并预测2050年和2100年的海平面上升。在95%的置信区间内,分析结果显示所有站点的降水均呈上升趋势。Mann-Kendall检验的Tau值在0.16至0.33之间,而季节性Mann-Kendall值在0.18至0.41之间。根据海平面预测分析,2050年平均海平面将上升8.77 ~ 14.29 cm, 2100年平均海平面将上升20.44 ~ 33.20 cm。综上所述,马来西亚半岛西海岸各站海平面趋势均呈上升趋势。
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Trend Analysis of Tides Level and Projection Sea Level Rise On the West Coast of Peninsular Malaysia
Globally, sea levels are rising due to climate change caused by humans. Current and future sea level rise will have a variety of effects, particularly on coastal infrastructure. This study analysed the tidal level trend and projected sea level rise along the western coast of peninsular Malaysia using tide level records collected between 1986 and 2012. The seasonal Mann-Kendall test and linear trend were used to determine the tide level trend over time and to predict sea level rise for 2050 and 2100. Based on a confidence interval of 95%, the results of the analysis indicated a rising trend at all stations. Tau values for the Mann-Kendall test range between 0.16 and 0.33, while seasonal Mann-Kendall values range between 0.18 and 0.41. Based on the sea level projection analysis, the mean sea level will rise between 8.77 cm and 14.29 cm in 2050, and between 20.44 cm and 33.20 cm in 2100. In conclusion, the sea level trend at all stations on the west coasts of peninsular Malaysia exhibits an upward trend.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Integrated Engineering
International Journal of Integrated Engineering ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
57
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Integrated Engineering (IJIE) is a single blind peer reviewed journal which publishes 3 times a year since 2009. The journal is dedicated to various issues focusing on 3 different fields which are:- Civil and Environmental Engineering. Original contributions for civil and environmental engineering related practices will be publishing under this category and as the nucleus of the journal contents. The journal publishes a wide range of research and application papers which describe laboratory and numerical investigations or report on full scale projects. Electrical and Electronic Engineering. It stands as a international medium for the publication of original papers concerned with the electrical and electronic engineering. The journal aims to present to the international community important results of work in this field, whether in the form of research, development, application or design. Mechanical, Materials and Manufacturing Engineering. It is a platform for the publication and dissemination of original work which contributes to the understanding of the main disciplines underpinning the mechanical, materials and manufacturing engineering. Original contributions giving insight into engineering practices related to mechanical, materials and manufacturing engineering form the core of the journal contents.
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