充分成分原因模拟:未充分利用的流行病学教学工具

Katrina L. Kezios, Eleanor Hayes-Larson
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在流行病学教学中,模拟研究是一种强大而重要的工具,尤其是在理解因果推理方面。使用充分成分原因框架的模拟可以为学生提供关于因果机制和偏见来源的关键见解,但并不常用。为了使它们更容易访问,我们的目标是提供关于开发和使用这些模拟的介绍和教程,包括从有向无环图和潜在结果到充分成分因果模型的转换概述,以及模拟方法的总结。利用受教育程度对痴呆症的影响这一应用问题,我们提供了简单的模拟示例和随附的代码,以说明通常在流行病学培训早期引入的四种常见因果结构(因果关系、混淆、选择偏差和效果修正)的充分组成部分的基于原因的模拟。我们展示了充分的基于原因的组件模拟如何阐明因果过程和偏见发生的机制,这有助于提高学生对这些因果结构及其之间区别的理解。最后,我们讨论了使用充分的组件原因为基础的模拟作为教学工具的考虑因素。
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Sufficient component cause simulations: an underutilized epidemiologic teaching tool
Simulation studies are a powerful and important tool in epidemiologic teaching, especially for understanding causal inference. Simulations using the sufficient component cause framework can provide students key insights about causal mechanisms and sources of bias, but are not commonly used. To make them more accessible, we aim to provide an introduction and tutorial on developing and using these simulations, including an overview of translation from directed acyclic graphs and potential outcomes to sufficient component causal models, and a summary of the simulation approach. Using the applied question of the impact of educational attainment on dementia, we offer simple simulation examples and accompanying code to illustrate sufficient component cause-based simulations for four common causal structures (causation, confounding, selection bias, and effect modification) often introduced early in epidemiologic training. We show how sufficient component cause-based simulations illuminate both the causal processes and the mechanisms through which bias occurs, which can help enhance student understanding of these causal structures and the distinctions between them. We conclude with a discussion of considerations for using sufficient component cause-based simulations as a teaching tool.
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