利用Cox比例风险回归法和随机生存森林法对未按时毕业学生的生存分析

IF 1.1 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Japanese Journal of Statistics and Data Science Pub Date : 2023-05-02 DOI:10.33369/jsds.v2i1.24312
Muhammad Arib Alwansyah Arib
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引用次数: 0

摘要

高等教育是在学术和非学术方面教育国家下一代的地方。基本上,每一所大学都试图在数量和质量上最大限度地提高学生毕业率。本科教育计划的目标是完成8个学期的学习,也可以在8个学期内完成,最多14个学期。许多因素被认为会影响学生学习时间的长短,包括内部因素和外部因素。根据被认为影响学生学习时长的因素,有必要进行研究,以确定哪些因素对学生的学习时长有显著影响。确定这些因素的方法是采用cox比例风险回归法和随机生存森林法进行生存分析。cox比例风险回归的影响学习时长的因素为GPA,随机生存森林法的影响学生学习时长的因素为GPA、性别、兼职时间。通过与C-Index法的比较,发现随机生存森林法是比较适合的方法,因为C-Index误差值为26.9%,小于cox比例危险度的27.8%。
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Survival Analysis of Students Not Graduated on Time Using Cox Proportional Hazard Regression Method and Random Survival Forest Method
Higher education is a place to educate the next generation of the nation in terms of academic and non-academic. Basically every college tries to maximize the graduation of its students, both in quantity and quality. The undergraduate education program is targeted to complete 8 semesters of study or can also be taken in less than 8 semesters and a maximum of 14 semesters. Many factors are thought to affect the length of student study, both internal and external factors. Based on the factors that are thought to affect the length of study of the student, it is necessary to conduct research to determine what factors have a significant effect on the length of study of the student. The method that can be used to determine these factors is survival analysis using cox proportional hazard regression and random survival forest. Factors that affect the length of study using cox proportional hazard regression is GPA, while by using the random survival forest method, the factors that influence the length of study of students are GPA, gender, and part time. Based on the comparison using the C-Index method, random survival forest is a suitable method to use in the data because the C-Index error value is 26.9% which is smaller than the cox proportional hazard which is 27.8%.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
15.40%
发文量
42
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