半自给经济中价格支持政策的经济后果

IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jpolmod.2023.11.002
Emerta A. Aragie , Scott McDonald
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引用次数: 0

摘要

发展中国家的半自给家庭作为农产品的生产者和消费者发挥着相当大的作用,其消费的很大一部分来自家庭生产供家庭消费(HPHC)。本研究采用了一个建模框架,该框架集成了HPHC增强数据库和一个改进的经济范围模型,以适应这些家庭的不同特征。具有边界价格冲击和若干政策响应的模型模拟结果表明,农户受外部价格冲击的影响较小,但对当地营销体系的改进反应更积极。在价格飙升期间,对战略性非食品进口的补贴在诱导代理商从事生产方面似乎效果较低。这一发现表明,关于地方价格激励和发达市场经济农业政策改革的研究报告的福利收益很可能大大高估了许多最不发达经济体半自给自足家庭的福利影响。
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The economic consequences of price support policies in semi-subsistence economies

Semi-subsistence households in developing countries play a considerable role as both producers and consumers of agricultural products, with a substantial part of their consumption contributed by home production for home consumption (HPHC). This study employs a modeling framework that integrates an HPHC augmented database with a modified economywide model that accommodates the distinct features of these households. Results from model simulations with border price shocks and several policy responses indicate that farm households are less influenced by external price shocks but are more responsive to enhancements in the local marketing system. Subsidies to strategic non-food imports during soaring prices appear less effective in inducing agents to engage in production. This finding suggests that the welfare gains reported by studies on price incentives locally, and agricultural policy reforms in developed market economies are likely to be large overestimates of the welfare implications for semi-subsistence households in many of the least developed economies.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.20
自引率
11.40%
发文量
76
期刊介绍: The Journal of Policy Modeling is published by Elsevier for the Society for Policy Modeling to provide a forum for analysis and debate concerning international policy issues. The journal addresses questions of critical import to the world community as a whole, and it focuses upon the economic, social, and political interdependencies between national and regional systems. This implies concern with international policies for the promotion of a better life for all human beings and, therefore, concentrates on improved methodological underpinnings for dealing with these problems.
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