索马里 Wabi Shebele 河流域贝莱德韦恩镇数据稀缺地区的洪水淹没地图绘制和缓解方案

Omer Ahmed Ibrahim , Demelash Wondimagegnehu Goshime , Sirak Tekleab , Rafik Absi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

近年来,索马里干旱地区发生了特大山洪暴发,造成了巨大的生命和财产损失。然而,洪水的规模、深度和发生频率尚未量化。这主要是由于该地区缺乏数据集。.在这项研究中,利用观测数据和气候灾害红外降水(CHIRP)卫星降雨产品以及遥感栅格数据的整合来改进水文模型的模拟输出。水文工程中心的 HEC-HMS 和 HEC-RAS 模型分别用于模拟降雨-径流过程和洪水淹没过程。土地利用、土壤、坡度和数字高程图(DEM)被用来设置模型和生成输出结果。HEC-HMS 模型的校核结果表明,该模型能够再现观测到的溪流。该模型生成的模拟流量与观测到的流量吻合度较高,通过纳什和苏克里夫效率 (NSE)、径流量误差 (RVE)、判定系数 (R2) 和峰值流量百分比误差 (PEPF) 评估的值分别为 0.79、0.74、0.78 和 0.78。HEC-RAS 模型结果表明,最大洪水深度和流速均出现在洪泛区。采用一般极值(GEV)分布计算的 50 年、100 年和 200 年一遇的洪峰流量分别为 384m3s-1、409m3s-1 和 434m3s-1。河流某段的 100 年一遇洪峰流量显示洪水深度为 7.53 米。通过设置堤坝作为缓解措施,发现洪水范围缩小了 35%,建议将其作为研究区域的可行防洪措施。
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Flood Inundation mapping and mitigation options in data-scarce region of Beledwayne town in the Wabi Shebele River Basin of Somalia

Somalia has experienced extreme flash floods in recent years across the arid regions causing tremendous loss of lives and properties. However, the flood magnitude, depth, and frequency of occurrence are not yet quantified. This is mainly due to scarce datasets in the area. . In this study, integration of observed and Climate Hazards Infrared Precipitation (CHIRP) satellite rainfall products and remote sensing raster data were used to improve hydrological model simulation outputs. The Hydrologic Engineering Center namely HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS models were used to simulate the rainfall-runoff processes and flood inundation, respectively. The land use, soil, slope and Digital Elevation map (DEM) were used to set-up the models and generate outputs. The HEC-HMS model calibration results depict that the model is able to reproduce the observed streamflow The simulated flows generated by the model predicted good agreement with the observed flow with values of 0.79, 0.74, 0.78, and 0.78 evaluated through the Nash and Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), Runoff Volume Error (RVE), coefficient of determination (R2), and percentage error of peak flow (PEPF), respectively. The HEC-RAS model result indicates that the maximum flood depth and velocity were obtained at the floodplain area. The peak flood at 50, 100, and 200-year return period using General Extreme Value (GEV) distribution revealed 384m3s-1, 409m3s-1, and 434m3s-1, respectively. The 100-year peak flood discharge in a specific part of the river revealed a flood depth of 7.53m. The provision of Levees as mitigation measures revealed reduction of the flood extent by 35% and suggested as possible flood protection measures for the study area.

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