为什么会有人去受恐怖袭击影响的地方?土耳其的案例

IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Journal of Vacation Marketing Pub Date : 2023-09-27 DOI:10.1177/13567667231203866
Berna Kirkulak-Uludag, Settar Ugur Kurt
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管土耳其领土和地区的恐怖袭击不断增加,但它仍然是世界上第六大访问量最大的国家,这既有趣又矛盾。本文试图揭示土耳其旅游业与恐怖主义的关系。本研究使用1990 - 2017年的月度数据,采用格兰杰因果检验和回归分析。调查结果显示,尽管发生了严重的恐怖事件,游客仍继续前往土耳其。只有伊斯坦布尔的恐怖袭击和恐怖事件中的死亡事件才会阻止游客前往土耳其。当我们深入研究为什么游客不顾恐怖袭击前往土耳其的问题时,我们发现,疲软的土耳其里拉对游客人数有着令人难以置信的重大影响。同样值得注意的是,关于土耳其安全的网络搜索对游客的旅行决策有显著的积极影响。最后,研究结果显示,俄罗斯飞机危机对游客数量的负面影响大于7月15日的政变企图。
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Why would anyone visit a terror-affected place? A case of Turkey
It is both interesting and paradoxical that Turkey is the sixth most visited country in the world despite the increasing terror attacks in its territory and region. This article attempts to shed light on the tourism–terrorism nexus in Turkey. Using monthly data from 1990 to 2017, this study applies the Granger causality test and regression analysis. The findings show that tourists continue to visit Turkey despite the intense terror incidents. Only terrorist attacks in Istanbul and deaths from terror incidents deter tourists from visiting Turkey. When we delve deeply into the question of why tourists visit Turkey despite terror attacks, we figure out that the weak Turkish Lira has an incredibly significant impact on tourist arrivals. It is also worth noting that web searches about the security of Turkey have a significant and positive impact on tourists’ travel decisions. Finally, the findings reveal that the negative impact of the Russian Jet Crisis on tourist arrivals is larger than that of the July 15th Coup Attempt.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.70
自引率
15.70%
发文量
54
期刊介绍: Journal of Vacation Marketing is a fully peer reviewed international journal that publishes original research and review articles on topics relating to the marketing of destinations and businesses/organisations involved in the wider tourism, hospitality and events industries. Its objective is to provide a forum for the publication of refereed academic papers and reviewed practitioner papers which are of direct relevance to industry, while meeting the highest standards of intellectual rigour.
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