求职和住房决策之间的相互作用:一个结构性估计

IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Southern Economic Journal Pub Date : 2023-08-10 DOI:10.1002/soej.12650
Sílvio Rendon, Núria Quella‐Isla
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引用次数: 0

摘要

住房和金融市场冲击影响摩擦性劳动力市场。我们从结构上估计了一个具有流动财富和住宅财富积累以及随机持续房价的求职模型。利用1978年至2000年的NLSY数据,我们发现保留工资和失业增加了总财富,并响应财富构成、房价和金融市场的紧缩。我们通过HPI增长对居住县进行了分组,并发现住宅财富对劳动力市场的影响随着房价的快速增长而受到侵蚀。当我们反事实地将首付款率固定在观察到的轨迹之上时,在房价平均增长或快速增长的县,失业率上升了一个百分点,而在房价停滞不前的县,失业率下降了1.2个百分点。将利率固定在2%,在房价没有增长的县,失业率会下降0.5个百分点,但在房价平均或快速增长的县,失业率没有变化。
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Interactions between job search and housing decisions: A structural estimation
Abstract Housing and financial market shocks affect frictional labor markets. We structurally estimate a model of job search with accumulation of liquid and residential wealth and randomly persistent house prices. Using NLSY data from 1978 to 2000, we show that reservation wages and nonemployment increase in total wealth and respond to the composition of wealth, home prices and financial markets' tightness. We cluster counties of residence by HPI growth and find a residential wealth effect on labor markets that erodes with fast home price growth. When we counterfactually fix downpayment rates above observed trajectories, nonemployment becomes one percentage point higher in counties of average or fast home price growth and 1.2 percentage points lower where home prices are stagnant. Fixing interest rates at 2% generates a 0.5 percentage point decline in nonemployment in counties with no home price growth, but no changes where price growth is average or fast.
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CiteScore
3.20
自引率
5.30%
发文量
58
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