局部投影、自相关和效率

IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Quantitative Economics Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.3982/qe1988
Amaze Lusompa
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引用次数: 0

摘要

众所周知,局部投影残差是自相关的。传统观点认为LP必须通过OLS来估计,而GLS是不可能的,因为自相关过程是未知的和/或因为GLS估计器是不一致的。我表明LP的自相关过程可以写成Wold误差和脉冲响应的矢量移动平均(VMA)过程,并且可以使用一致的GLS估计器来纠正自相关。蒙特卡罗模拟表明,用GLS估计LP可以得到更有效的估计。
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Local projections, autocorrelation, and efficiency
It is well known that Local Projections (LP) residuals are autocorrelated. Conventional wisdom says that LP have to be estimated by OLS and that GLS is not possible because the autocorrelation process is unknown and/or because the GLS estimator would be inconsistent. I show that the autocorrelation process of LP can be written as a Vector Moving Average (VMA) process of the Wold errors and impulse responses and that autocorrelation can be corrected for using a consistent GLS estimator. Monte Carlo simulations show that estimating LP with GLS can lead to more efficient estimates.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
5.60%
发文量
28
审稿时长
52 weeks
期刊最新文献
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