代际价值观与民粹主义的兴起(皮帕·诺里斯、罗纳德·英格哈特评论)。文化的强烈反对。特朗普、英国脱欧和威权民粹主义。剑桥大学出版社,2019)

I. A. Sumaneev
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摘要

这篇文章回顾了皮帕·诺里斯和罗纳德·英格尔哈特合著的一本被广泛引用的书《文化反弹》,重点关注最近民粹主义在世界各地的兴起。根据作者的说法,这一代人是威权主义-民粹主义价值观的最强预测者,他们会为这些价值观投票。他们将民粹主义理解为一种基于两个主要特征的修辞风格:挑战既有的权力,并宣称人民是社会中合法权力的唯一来源。老一辈人倾向于有更多的民粹主义态度,并投票给民粹主义政党,而年轻人则有更多的自由主义价值观,不太可能投票给民粹主义者。多数主义的制度设计,如美国的间接总统选举或英国的多元选举制度,加剧了这些国家民粹主义的兴起。造成这一趋势的其他因素是所谓的“无声革命”,许多国家文化和社会环境的巨大变化(获得高等教育,妇女解放,移民等),老年人往往反对,以及经济危机,这使人们感到更脆弱,甚至引发年轻人倾向于威权民粹主义价值观。这本书是理解近20年来民粹主义在各国取得巨大成功的重要论文。
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GENERATIONAL VALUES AND THE RISE OF POPULISM (Review on Pippa Norris, Ronald Inglehart. Cultural Backlash. Trump, Brexit, and Authoritarian Populism. Cambridge University Press. 2019)
The article reviews a widely cited book “Cultural Backlash” by Pippa Norris and Ronald Inglehart, focused on the recent rise of populism all over the world. According to the authors, the generation is the strongest predictor of authoritarian-populist values and voting for the ones. They understand populism as a rhetoric style, based on two main features: challenging the established power and proclaiming that people are the only source of legitimate power in a society. Old generational cohorts, tend to have more populist attitudes and vote for populist parties, while young cohorts have more libertarian values and less likely to vote for populists. Majoritarian institutional design, such as indirect presidential elections in the USA or plural electoral system in Great Britain exacerbate the rise of populism in these countries. Other contributors to this trend are so called “silent revolution”, a massive change of cultural and societal environment in many countries (access to higher education, women emancipation, migration, etc.), which old cohorts tend to oppose, and economic crises, which make people feel more vulnerable and provoke even the young cohort to incline to authoritarian-populist values. The book under review is a crucial paper for understanding massive success of populism in different countries for the last twenty years.
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