恰蒂斯加尔邦不同地区季风降雨的趋势和变率

Rajshree Agrawal, Dr. Gopi Krishna Das
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摘要

本文尝试进行趋势分析,找出恰蒂斯加尔邦不同地区(146个)季风降雨的变异性。为此,从农业气象部,CoA, IGKV, Raipur (C.G.)收集了25年(1996-2020)的长期降雨数据。趋势分析采用线性趋势法,借助trend软件进行分析。利用变异系数对季风变率进行量化。结果表明,在恰蒂斯加尔邦平原地区89个区中,3个区(Rajim、Mahasamund、Arang)季风降水呈显著增加趋势,只有1个区(Champa)季风降水呈显著减少趋势。在巴斯塔高原地区,25个区块中有11个区块的季风降水呈显著增加趋势。在北部丘陵区32个区中,只有1个区(Jaspur)季风降水呈显著增加趋势,11个区季风降水呈显著减少趋势。在恰蒂斯加尔平原区,季风变率在13% (Malkharoda块)至31% (Deobhog块)之间。在Bastar高原地区,季风变率在16% (Kondagaon地块)至28% (Sukma地块)之间。在北部丘陵区,季风变率在15% (Pharsabahar和Duldula地块)到27% (Surajpur地块)之间。
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Trend and variability of monsoonal rainfall in different blocks of Chhattisgarh
An attempt has been done for the trend analysis and to find out the variability of monsoonal rainfall of different (146) blocks of Chhattisgarh. For that Long-term rainfall data of 25 years (1996-2020) was collected from the department of Agrometeorology, CoA, IGKV, Raipur (C.G.). for the trend analysis linear trend method was used with the help of TREND software. And Coefficient of variation was utilized to quantify the monsoonal variability. Results revealed that In Chhattisgarh plain zone out of 89 blocks, 3 blocks (Rajim, Mahasamund, Arang) observed a significantly increasing trend, and only 1 block (Champa) reported significantly decreasing trend of monsoonal rainfall. In the Bastar plateau zone out of 25 blocks 11 blocks observed significantly increasing trend of monsoonal rainfall. In the Northern hill zone out of 32 blocks, only 1 block (Jaspur) observed a significantly increasing trend and 11 blocks observed significantly decreasing trend of monsoonal rainfall. In Chhattisgarh Plain Zone, Monsoonal variability ranged between 13% (Malkharoda block) to 31% (Deobhog block). In Bastar plateau zone, Monsoonal variability ranged between 16% (Kondagaon block) to 28% (Sukma block). In Northern Hill Zone Monsoonal variability ranged between 15% (Pharsabahar and Duldula block) to 27% (Surajpur block).
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