尼日利亚银行业改革与经济增长

Michael Amaegberi, Wisdom Selekekeme Krokeyi
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摘要

没有一个强健可靠的银行体系,经济扩张是不可能实现的。尼日利亚的银行业已经实施了改革。本研究通过应用普通最小二乘(OLS)方法,分析了1981年至2021年间尼日利亚银行业变化对GDP扩张的影响。结果表明,尼日利亚银行业的变化对该国的经济发展做出了重大贡献。银行业整合后,流动性比率对经济增长有显著的正向影响,而改革前,流动性比率对经济增长没有影响。此外,在银行体系整合之前,现金准备金率对经济扩张的影响是负的,在统计上可以忽略不计。变动后,发现现金准备金率对GDP增长的影响为正且无统计学意义。在实施银行部门改革之前的几年里,货币政策利率对经济增长也显示出积极和统计上显著的影响。由于货币政策利率的影响,改革对经济增长产生了相当大的负面影响。为了保持银行和更广泛的银行体系的有效性和效率,对银行业进行频繁的改革是必要的。为了改善流动性,从而促进经济增长,应该降低现金准备金率。& # x0D;& # x0D;收稿日期:2023年9月5日/收稿日期:2023年10月23日/发表日期:2023年11月5日
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Banking Sector Reforms and Economic Growth in Nigeria
Economic expansion is impossible to achieve without a robust and reliable banking system. Reforms have been implemented in the banking industry in Nigeria. Through an application of the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method, this study analyses the effect of changes to Nigeria's banking industry on GDP expansion between 1981 and 2021. The results demonstrate that the banking sector changes in Nigeria contributed significantly to the country's economic development for the better. After the banking industry was consolidated, the liquidity ratio was found to have a positive and statistically significant effect on economic growth, whereas before the reforms it had no effect at all. In addition, prior to the consolidation of the banking system, the cash reserve ratio had a negative and statistically negligible effect on economic expansion. Cash reserve ratio's effect on GDP growth was found to be positive and non-statistically significant following the change. A positive and statistically significant effect of monetary policy rate on economic growth was also shown in the years prior to the implementation of banking sector reforms. The reform had a considerable negative effect on economic growth as a result of the monetary policy rate. In order to maintain the effectiveness and efficiency of banks and the broader banking system, frequent reforms to the banking industry are necessary. To improve liquidity, and thus economic growth, the cash reserve ratio should be lowered. Received: 5 September 2023 / Accepted: 23 October 2023 / Published: 5 November 2023
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