我们失去的信任Treuhand 的经历对东德政治疏离的影响

IF 2.8 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Journal of Comparative Economics Pub Date : 2023-10-16 DOI:10.1016/j.jce.2023.10.001
Kim Leonie Kellermann
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引用次数: 0

摘要

政治管理下的大规模裁员是否会破坏信任和政治利益?在德国统一期间,东德的前国有社会主义企业由德国联邦政府(Treuhand)进行了私有化,其代价是大量失业和公众抗议。我们证明,这些活动对受影响个人的态度和政治行为产生了不利影响。利用德国社会经济小组的调查数据和选举结果,我们发现失去工作的东德人表现出明显的信任度降低、政治兴趣降低以及对主流民主党派的认同度降低,甚至在统一后的 30 年中也是如此。我们使用固定效应估算和安慰剂分析证实了结果的因果关系,而安慰剂分析无法用特鲁汉德经历以外的原因解释政治失望情绪。我们将研究结果解释为,在经济转型的关键阶段,政治管理不善对长期政治认同产生了持续的负面影响。
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Trust we lost: The impact of the Treuhand experience on political alienation in East Germany

Do politically administered mass layoffs undermine trust and political interest? During the German reunification, formerly state-owned socialist firms in East Germany were privatized by the Treuhand, which came at the cost of massive job losses and public protest. We demonstrate that these activities had a detrimental effect on attitudes and political behavior of the affected individuals. Using survey data from the German Socio-economic Panel and election results, we find that East Germans who lost their jobs exhibit significantly lower trust levels, lower political interest and a lower identification with mainstream democratic parties, even up to 30 years after reunification. We corroborate the causality of the results using fixed-effects estimations and a placebo analysis, which fails to explain political disenchantment by reasons other than the Treuhand experience. We interpret the findings as the persistent, negative effect of perceived political mismanagement during a crucial phase of economic transition on long-run political identification.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
66
审稿时长
45 days
期刊介绍: The mission of the Journal of Comparative Economics is to lead the new orientations of research in comparative economics. Before 1989, the core of comparative economics was the comparison of economic systems with in particular the economic analysis of socialism in its different forms. In the last fifteen years, the main focus of interest of comparative economists has been the transition from socialism to capitalism.
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