无家可归预防项目能预防无家可归吗?来自随机对照试验的证据

David C. Phillips, James X. Sullivan
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摘要

摘要本文提供了第一个来自随机对照试验的证据,该试验分离了经济援助对防止无家可归的影响。在这项研究中,即将面临无家可归风险的个人和家庭获得了临时经济援助,平均每人获得近2000美元的援助。我们的研究结果表明,这种援助将无家可归者的基本比率从4.1%显著降低了3.8个百分点。对于有无家可归史和没有孩子的人来说,这种影响更大。尽管由于难以确定目标而引起对成本效益的担忧,但我们的估计表明,预防无家可归的好处超过了成本。
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Do Homelessness Prevention Programs Prevent Homelessness? Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial
Abstract This paper provides the first evidence from a randomized controlled trial isolating the impact of financial assistance to prevent homelessness. In this study individuals and families at imminent risk of homelessness were offered temporary financial assistance, averaging nearly $2,000 for those assigned to treatment. Our results show that this assistance significantly reduces homelessness by 3.8 percentage points from a base rate of 4.1 percent. The effects are larger for people with a history of homelessness and no children. Despite concerns about cost-effectiveness due to difficulty targeting, our estimates suggest that the benefits to homelessness prevention exceed costs.
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