拼车问题中为接送策略提供补贴的三方进化博弈分析

Zeyuan Yan, Li Li, Hui Zhao, Yazan Mualla, Ansar Yasar
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摘要

虽然拼车中的接送策略(PUDO)为乘客在上下车时提供了短距离步行的便利,但尽管这种出行方式好处多多,通勤者对采用这种出行方式却明显犹豫不决。在此,本文建立了一个三方演化博弈论(EGT)模型,以验证拼车系统中司机和乘客的 PUDO 策略选择以及拼车平台提供补贴策略的演化稳定性。本文提出的模型是评估拼车应用中 PUDO 策略和提供补贴策略的传播和实施情况的重要工具。随后,本文进行了实证分析,研究和比较了各种情况下参数的敏感性。研究结果表明:首先,通过拼车平台为乘客和司机提供补贴,同时为司机提供扣款,是促进更广泛采用 PUDO 战略的有效方法。然后,决策过程分为三个阶段:初始阶段、中期阶段和成熟阶段。在成熟阶段,乘客和司机都倾向于在拼车平台的补贴下采用 PUDO 战略;在选择 PUDO 战略时,影响等待和步行时间成本的因素以及给予乘客的补贴是乘客、司机和拼车平台需要慎重考虑的重要决定因素。我们的工作为 PUDO 策略的适用性提供了宝贵的见解,申报结果为交通管理人员和拼车平台提供适当的激励措施提供了启示。
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A tripartite evolutionary game analysis of providing subsidies for pick-up/drop-off strategy in carpooling problem

Although the pick-up/drop-off (PUDO) strategy in carpooling offers the convenience of short-distance walking for passengers during boarding and disembarking, there is a noticeable hesitancy among commuters to adopt this travel method, despite its numerous benefits. Here, this paper establishes a tripartite evolutionary game theory (EGT) model to verify the evolutionary stability of choosing the PUDO strategy of drivers and passengers and offering subsidies strategy of carpooling platforms in carpooling system. The model presented in this paper serves as a valuable tool for assessing the dissemination and implementation of PUDO strategy and offering subsidies strategy in carpooling applications. Subsequently, an empirical analysis is conducted to examine and compare the sensitivity of the parameters across various scenarios. The findings suggest that: firstly, providing subsidies to passengers and drivers, along with deductions for drivers through carpooling platforms, is an effective way to promote wider adoption of the PUDO strategy. Then, the decision-making process is divided into three stages: initial stage, middle stage, and mature stage. PUDO strategy progresses from initial rejection to widespread acceptance among drivers in the middle stage and, in the mature stage, both passengers and drivers tend to adopt it under carpooling platform subsidies; the factors influencing the costs of waiting and walking times, as well as the subsidies granted to passengers, are essential determinants that require careful consideration by passengers, drivers, and carpooling platforms when choosing the PUDO strategy. Our work provides valuable insight into the PUDO strategy’s applicability and the declared results provide implications for traffic managers and carpooling platforms to offer a suitable incentive.

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