俄罗斯联邦的区域差异:工业部门地域本土化对区域经济活动水平影响的实证分析

Veniamin Livchits
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摘要

这篇文章专门讨论俄罗斯联邦经济区域间高度分化的问题。该研究的相关性是由于需要了解工业部门在地区经济不平等中的作用。国家区域政策的系统化和区域导向生产体系创新发展的战略预测是必要的。这项研究的目的是确定工业区域的经济活动水平与其部门特点之间的经验关系。根据大量统计数据,显示出俄罗斯联邦各地区经济不平等的长期增加和区域间的高度差异。在研究过程中,运用了数理统计的基本方法。回归分析使我们得到了对假设的统计上显著的证实:地区的经济不平等在很大程度上是由于其领土上的产业的性质。还确定了一些经验模式并进行了统计证实。工业导向型地区的经济主要依赖于采掘业:采掘业本土化因素对区域经济活动的影响显著(5倍以上)高于制造业。研究结果表明,目前的趋势可能会导致国家经济空间的区域间分化进一步加强。此外,目前的局势还导致那些目前以高科技工业集中为特征的区域面临去工业化的威胁。该研究为产业和结构政策重点提供了额外的数据支持。
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Regional differences in the Russian Federation: An empirical analysis of the influence of terri-torial localization of industry sectors on the level of regional economic activity
The article is devoted to the problem of high inter-regional differentiation of the economic area of the Russian Federation. The relevance of the research is due to the need to understand the role of the industrial sector in the economic inequality of regions. It is necessary for the systematization of the state regional policy and strategic forecasting of the innovative development of regionally oriented production systems. The purpose of the research was to identify an empirical relationship between the level of economic activity of industrial regions and their sectoral specifics. Based on a large array of statistical data, a long-term increase in the economic inequality of the regions of the Russian Federation and a high level of inter-regional differentiation are shown. During the research, the basic methods of mathematical statistics were used. The regression analysis allowed us to obtain a statistically significant confirmation of the hypothesis: the economic inequality of the regions is largely due to the nature of the industries localized on their territory. Some empirical patterns were also identified and statistically substantiated. It was established that the economy of industrially oriented regions depends mainly on extractive industries: the impact on the economic activity of the regions of the factor of localization of extractive industries is significantly (more than five times) higher than that of manufacturing industries. The results allowed us to conclude that the current trends may lead to further strengthening of inter-regional differentiation of the country's economic space. Also, the current situation entails the threat of deindustrialization of those regions that are now characterized by the concentration of high-tech industries. The research provides additional data support for industrial and structural policy priorities.
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