意大利地方部长办公室的政治生涯和稳定性

Matteo Boldrini, Selena Grimaldi
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摘要

自20世纪90年代中期以来,由于基于总统制政府形式和新的政党制度的新机会框架,意大利地区的政治代表和选举模式发生了重大变化。我们的目标是了解某些社会经济特征和政治概况在多大程度上影响区域部长任期的稳定性,使用1121个普通法规区域的区域部长的原始数据集。我们的研究结果表明,政治派别和地区政治经验对任职乃至某些社会经济特征(如性别和年龄)都至关重要。事实上,中间派政客比其他党派的政客更不可能留任。此外,如果他们拥有高水平的地区经验,他们更有可能在办公室呆得更久。
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Political careers and stability in office of regional ministers in Italy
Models of political representation and selection in the Italian regions have undergone major changes since the mid-1990s, due to the new framework of opportunities based on a presidential form of government and a new party system. We aim to understand the extent to which certain socio-economic characteristics and political profiles influence the stability of the tenure of Regional Ministers (RMs), using an original dataset of 1121 RMs in ordinary statute regions. Our results show that political affiliation and regional political experience are crucial for holding office and even certain socio-economic features such as gender and age. Indeed, centrist politicians are less likely to remain in office than those who belong to other parties. Furthermore, they are more likely to stay in office longer if they have a high level of regional experience.
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