国际移民决定因素的实证研究

IF 1.7 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Peace Economics Peace Science and Public Policy Pub Date : 2023-11-02 DOI:10.1515/peps-2023-0038
Domenico Suppa, Salvatore D’Acunto, Francesco Schettino
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引用次数: 0

摘要

国家间人均收入的差异真的是移民流动的主要原因吗?主流经济学思想会给出肯定的答案。鉴于非正统文献,在本文中,作者批判性地评估了这一观点,然后对1990年至2019年232个国家的移民存量数据进行了实证检验(应用面板和动态面板模型),试图根据社会政治、文化、人口和经济变量(通过整合4个官方数据集获得)解释移民趋势。结果显示,人均收入差异对移徙流动的影响并不独特:在一定阈值(约2.7万美元)以内,移徙似乎与移徙者原籍国的人均国内生产总值直接相关。此外,与有关移民链的文献研究结果一致,目的地国已有的移民存量发挥了重要作用。这些实证研究结果可能有助于改善移民政策。
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An Empirical Investigation on the Determinants of International Migration
Abstract Are differences in per capita income between countries really the main cause of migratory flows? Mainstream economic thinking would give an affirmative answer. In the light of the heterodox literature, in this article, the authors critically evaluate this view and then they conduct an empirical test (applying panel and dynamic panel models) on data relating to the stocks of migrants on 232 countries from 1990 to 2019, trying to explain migration trends based on social-political, cultural, demographic and economic variables (obtained by integrating 4 official datasets). The results reveal a non-unique influence of differences in per capita income on migratory flows: up to a certain threshold (around $27,000) migration appears to be directly related to per capita GDP of migrants’ country of origin. Furthermore, the pre-existing stock of migrants in the country of destination takes on an important role, in line with the findings of the literature on migratory chains. These empirical findings could contribute to improve migration policies.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
10.00%
发文量
13
期刊介绍: The journal accepts rigorous, non-technical papers especially in research methods in peace science, but also regular papers dealing with all aspects of the peace science field, from pure abstract theory to practical applied research. As a guide to topics: - Arms Control and International Security - Artificial Intelligence and Cognitive Studies - Behavioral Studies - Conflict Analysis and Management - Cooperation, Alliances and Games - Crises and War Studies - Critical Economic Aspects of the Global Crises - Deterrence Theory - Empirical and Historical Studies on the Causes of War - Game, Prospect and Related Theory - Harmony and Conflict - Hierarchy Theory
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