基于生产函数的上述成本要素区域功能评价

Roman A. Zhukov, Maria A. Plinskaya, Evgeny V. Manokhin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在利用生产函数对区域经济增长进行建模时,出现了选择模型、因素和方法来调整成本特征的问题,以便获得充分和准确的模型,以及形成整体和部分绩效指标,从而正确评估和分析俄罗斯各地区的绩效。如果模型是充分和准确的,因此,所研究的过程对于所使用的模型、因素和计算方法是不变的,那么这个问题就变得特别重要。本研究的目的是在生产函数的基础上估计各地区绩效的结果,前提是在模拟俄罗斯区域经济增长时,按地区改变国内生产总值的过程在模型、因素和使它们达到可比形式的方法方面是不变的。调查的假设是,相对于使成本指标达到可比较形式的模型、因素和方法,各地区国内生产总值的变化过程是不变的。该研究使用了CFD区域(2007-2020年)的数据。因此,构建了5个模型,并以5种不同的方式计算了其中的因子,同时考虑了价格变化和平均年特征。经确定,部分指标具有类似的动态。与此同时,统计检验和作者选择考虑到区域发展优先事项的模式的方法都无法确定其中的最佳模式。这使我们得出结论,所研究的过程对于所使用的模型和校正技术是不变的。为解决区域绩效评价模型的选择问题,提出了综合各区域绩效评价方法的综合绩效指标。这将减少这种选择的主观性的影响。其理论意义在于有可能应用该方法形成任意社会经济系统的整体和部分绩效指标。所进行的研究的实际意义在于,所获得的结果可以用于设计旨在确保CFD区域可持续发展的活动。
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Assessment of the Regions Functioning Based on Production Functions with the Above Cost Factors
When modeling the growth of a regional economy by means of production functions, a problem arises of choosing models, factors and methods for adjusting cost characteristics in order to obtain adequate and accurate models, as well as the formation of integral and partial indicators of performance that provide a correct assessment and analysis of the performance of the regions of Russia. Such a problem becomes especially significant if the models are adequate and accurate, and, consequently, the process under study is invariant with respect to the models, factors and calculation methods used. The aim of the study is to estimate the results of the regions' performance on the basis of production functions, provided that the process of changing the volume of GDP by region is invariant with respect to models, factors and methods of bringing them to a comparable form when modeling the growth of the Russia regional economy. The hypothesis of the investigation is the invariance of the process of the change of the volume of GDP by region relative to the models, factors and methods used to bring the cost indicators to a comparable form. The study used data on the CFD regions (2007–2020). As a result, five models were constructed, the factors of which were calculated in five different ways, taking into account both price changes and average annual characteristics. It was determined that partial indicators have similar dynamics. At the same time, statistical tests and the author's methodology for choosing a model that would take into account the priorities of regional development did not allow for identifying the best of them. This allowed us to conclude that the process under study is invariant with respect to the models and correction techniques used. To solve the problem of choosing models for evaluating the regions' performance results, it is proposed that an integral performance indicator should be applied that summarizes the calculation methods used. This would reduce the influence of subjectivity of such a choice. The theoretical significance lies in the possibility of applying the methodology to form integral and partial indicators of performance for arbitrary socio-economic systems. The practical significance of the conducted research lies in the fact that the results obtained can be used to design activities that would be aimed at ensuring the CFD regions' sustainable development.
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