麻烦与困惑:巴布亚新几内亚2022年大选

IF 0.4 4区 历史学 Q1 HISTORY JOURNAL OF PACIFIC HISTORY Pub Date : 2023-09-24 DOI:10.1080/00223344.2023.2248008
Terence Wood, Maholopa Laveil, Michael Kabuni
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摘要

本文以2022年巴布亚新几内亚大选为研究对象,涵盖了选举质量和选举结果两个方面。总的来说,2022年的选举非常麻烦。在该国部分地区,严重暴力和选举舞弊是主要问题。在这个国家的其他地区,民意调查没有那么令人担忧。然而,有些问题,比如滚动,几乎到处都很严重。就选举结果而言,只有两名女性赢得席位这一结果是可以预料的。然而,选举也带来了令人困惑的结果:特别是现任者的连任率达到了有史以来的最高水平。最大政党赢得的席位比1982年以来的任何一次选举都要多。后两种结果似乎都不是选举舞弊的直接结果。相反,党的结果源于千禧年规则的改变。现任总统的高连任率仍然是一个真正的谜。
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Troubles and Puzzles: The 2022 General Elections in Papua New Guinea
This paper focuses on the 2022 general elections in Papua New Guinea, covering both electoral quality and election outcomes. Overall, the 2022 elections were very troubled. In parts of the country, serious violence and electoral fraud were major issues. In other parts of the country, polling was less fraught. However, some problems, such as the roll, were serious almost everywhere. In terms of election outcomes, one outcome – only two women won seats – was predictable. However, the election brought puzzling results too: in particular, incumbents were re-elected at the highest rate ever. And the largest party won a larger share of seats than has been the case in any election since 1982. Neither of the latter two results appear to have been a direct product of electoral fraud. Rather, the party outcome stems from a turn-of-the-millennium rule change. High incumbent re-election rates remain a genuine puzzle.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.50
自引率
33.30%
发文量
54
期刊介绍: The Journal of Pacific History is a refereed international journal serving historians, prehistorians, anthropologists and others interested in the study of mankind in the Pacific Islands (including Hawaii and New Guinea), and is concerned generally with political, economic, religious and cultural factors affecting human presence there. It publishes articles, annotated previously unpublished manuscripts, notes on source material and comment on current affairs. It also welcomes articles on other geographical regions, such as Africa and Southeast Asia, or of a theoretical character, where these are concerned with problems of significance in the Pacific.
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