两个气候错误是正确的吗?

IF 8.3 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY AGU Advances Pub Date : 2023-11-02 DOI:10.1029/2023AV001020
David Schimel, Charles Miller
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着地球接近局部和全球超过1.5°C的稳定目标,气候变化造成的损害(主要是极端天气)的增长速度远远超过预期。虽然评估模型在很大程度上估计了缓解的高成本,但绿色能源成本的下降速度比预计的要快。气候政策假定损害成本是可控的,而脱碳成本是昂贵的。这两种假设都是错误的,可能会导致人类行为的转折点:科学家需要探索与这一新兴现实相一致的选择。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Do Two Climate Wrongs Make a Right?

As the planet approaches local and global exceedance of the 1.5°C stabilization target, damages from climate change, mostly due to extremes, are growing far faster than projected. While assessment models have largely estimated high costs of mitigation, the cost of green energy is dropping faster than projected. Climate policy has assumed that damage costs are manageable while decarbonization is expensive. Both these assumptions are wrong, potentially leading to a tipping point in human behavior: scientists need to explore options aligned with this emerging reality.

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