杂交桉树林分从早期到收获期生长和产量预测的月度数据结构评估

IF 0.6 Q3 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pertanika Journal of Tropical Agricultural Science Pub Date : 2023-09-22 DOI:10.47836/pjtas.46.4.04
Gianmarco Goycochea Casas, Carlos Pedro Boechat Soares, Márcio Leles Romarco de Oliveira, Daniel Henrique Breda Binoti, Leonardo Pereira Fardin, Mathaus Messias Coimbra Limeira, Zool Hilmi Ismail, Antonilmar Araújo Lopes da Silva, Hélio Garcia Leite
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引用次数: 0

摘要

整林模型(WSM)一直都是用序列年龄匹配数据库中组织的永久地块数据进行拟合,即i和i+1,其中i = 1,2,…N个地块测量值。本研究的目标是:(1)通过拟合a . L. da Silva等人(2006)修改的版本中的Clutter(1963)、Buckman(1962)模型和深度学习来评估月度分布式数据结构的统计效率,以及(2)评估从桉树林分早期到收获年龄的产量预测获得准确性的可能性。分析了组织数据的三种备选方案。第一种是序列测量年龄配对的数据,即i和i+1,其中i = 1,2,…N个地块测量值。其次,考虑每个地块的所有可能的测量区间,即ii+1;我,我+ 2;…;;我+ 1,+ 2;…, N-1, N.第三个是按月(j)配对的数据,总是以一个月为间隔,即j, j+1;j + 1, + 2;j+M-1, M,其中M为测量样地林龄,单位为月。研究表明,除杂波模型外,预测的准确性和一致性取决于月度分布数据的组织。从早期到收获年龄增加预测的统计假设的更好替代方案是基于使用深度学习方法的月度分布式数据结构。
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Assessment of a Monthly Data Structure for Growth and Yield Projections from Early to Harvest Age in Hybrid Eucalypt Stands
Whole-stand Models (WSM) have always been fitted with permanent plot data organised in a sequential age-matched database, i.e., i and i+1, where i = 1, 2, ... N plot measurements. The objectives of this study were (1) to evaluate the statistical efficiency of a monthly distributed data structure by fitting the models of Clutter (1963), Buckman (1962) in the version modified by A. L. da Silva et al. (2006), and deep learning, and (2) to evaluate the possibility of gaining accuracy in yield projections made from an early age to harvest age of eucalypt stands. Three alternatives for organizing the data were analyzed. The first is with data paired in sequential measurement ages, i.e., i and i+1, where i = 1, 2, ... N plot measurements. In the second, all possible measurement intervals for each plot were considered, i.e., ii+1; i, i+2; ...; iN; i+1, i+2; ..., N-1, N. The third has data paired by month (j), always with an interval of one month, i.e., j, j+1; j+1, j+2; j+M-1, M, where M is the stand age of the plot measurement in months. This study shows that the accuracy and consistency of the projections depend on the organization of the monthly distributed data, except for the Clutter model. A better alternative to increasing the statistical assumptions of the forecast from early to harvest age is based on a monthly distributed data structure using a deep learning method.
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来源期刊
Pertanika Journal of Tropical Agricultural Science
Pertanika Journal of Tropical Agricultural Science Agricultural and Biological Sciences-Agronomy and Crop Science
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
16.70%
发文量
64
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