唐纳德·特朗普,反建制的民粹主义,以及美国商业和政治之间的旋转门

Daniel Kinderman
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摘要

旋转门动力学在美国是普遍存在的。关于旋转门和唐纳德·特朗普有大量的文献,但到目前为止,还没有人试图把这些文献放在一起。本文代表了这样做的第一次尝试,并回答了以下问题:特朗普的崛起是否可以被理解为旋转门动力学的高潮,在旋转门动力学下,管理者成为政治家,政治家成为游说者?是什么促使特朗普旋转?特朗普的总统任期对旋转门有何影响?这篇论文将特朗普置于旋转门的背景下,并将他与前任总统和总统候选人进行了比较。近几十年来,旋转门活动有所增加。虽然这表明这扇旋转门为特朗普铺平了道路,但对证据的仔细研究揭示了一个更复杂的情况。许多美国商人竞选总统都失败过。与之前的商人出身的总统一样,特朗普是家族商人,而不是上市公司的经理或首席执行官。特朗普在2016年赢得大选还有很多其他因素,包括他的电视真人秀明星身份、他的个人魅力和他的右翼民粹主义:特朗普来自商界,但不是来自商业机构。此外,特朗普从商界转到了政界,而不是从国会山转到了K街。候选人特朗普抨击了旋转门,并承诺要抽干这片沼泽。特朗普总统填补了这个空缺,引发了美国历史上最严重的民主危机和威胁之一。
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Donald Trump, anti-establishment populism and the revolving door between business and politics in the United States
Abstract Revolving door dynamics are pervasive in the United States. There are vast literatures on the revolving door and on Donald Trump, but so far, no attempts to bring these literatures together. This paper represents a first attempt to do so and answer the following questions: Can Trump’s rise be understood as a culmination of revolving door dynamics, under which managers become politicians and politicians become lobbyists? What motivated Trump to revolve, and how has Trump’s presidency affected the revolving door? The paper places Trump into the context of the revolving door and compares him with previous presidents and presidential candidates. In recent decades, revolving door activity has increased. While this suggests that the revolving door paved the way for Trump, a close examination of the evidence reveals a more complex picture. Many American businesspeople have unsuccessfully run for president. Like the businessmen-turned-presidents who preceded him, Trump is a family businessman, not a manager or a CEO of a listed company. A multitude of additional factors contributed to Trump’s 2016 win including his status as a reality TV celebrity, his charisma, and his right-wing populism: Trump is from business but not from the business establishment. In addition, Trump revolved from business into politics, rather than from Capitol Hill to K Street. Candidate Trump railed against the revolving door and pledged to drain the swamp. President Trump swamped the drain and precipitated one of the most serious crises and threats to American democracy in the country’s history.
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