美联储如何影响企业信贷成本?违约风险、债权人细分和后 FOMC 漂移

IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Monetary Economics Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2023.10.008
Stefan Walz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

货币政策利率的意外变化会对信贷风险度量产生因果影响,而信贷风险度量在 FOMC 后会出现明显的漂移。我采用了严密的识别策略来分解企业特定因素和债权人特定因素在不同时期的影响。收入差距较小、托宾 Q 比率较低的公司在短期和长期都表现出更高的敏感性。主要由债券基金持有的债券仅暂时表现出更高的敏感性,这表明信贷市场的细分未能解释所观察到的漂移。总的经纪交易商资本稀缺与漂移部分的反应放大有关。很大一部分漂移仍无法解释,这揭示了横截面特征在解释传导机制方面的局限性。
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How does the fed affect corporate credit costs? Default risk, creditor segmentation and the post-FOMC drift

Surprise changes in monetary policy rates have a causal impact on credit risk measures, which display a significant post-FOMC drift. I employ a tight identification strategy to decompose the influence of firm-specific and creditor-specific factors across horizons. Firms with narrower income gaps and lower Tobin’s Q ratios exhibit heightened sensitivity at both short and long horizons. Bonds predominantly held by bond funds demonstrate only temporarily more sensitivity, indicating that credit market segmentation fails to account for the observed drift. Aggregate broker dealer capital scarcity is linked to an amplified response in the drift component. A large portion of the drift remains unexplained, revealing the limitations of cross-sectional characteristics in explaining the transmission mechanism.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
4.90%
发文量
90
审稿时长
74 days
期刊介绍: The profession has witnessed over the past twenty years a remarkable expansion of research activities bearing on problems in the broader field of monetary economics. The strong interest in monetary analysis has been increasingly matched in recent years by the growing attention to the working and structure of financial institutions. The role of various institutional arrangements, the consequences of specific changes in banking structure and the welfare aspects of structural policies have attracted an increasing interest in the profession. There has also been a growing attention to the operation of credit markets and to various aspects in the behavior of rates of return on assets. The Journal of Monetary Economics provides a specialized forum for the publication of this research.
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