解释国内因素在形成外交政策中的作用:比较视角下的印度和巴基斯坦(2014-2020)

IF 0.5 3区 社会学 Q3 AREA STUDIES South Asia-Journal of South Asian Studies Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI:10.33687/jsas.011.02.4818
Muhammad Adeel Khan, Manzoor Ahmad Naazer
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自2014年以来,印度的内外政策反映了暴力的宗教狂热和极端民族主义。莫迪经常表示,如果当选,印度将对巴基斯坦采取强硬立场,并将印控克什米尔(IOK)直接置于印度中央政府的控制之下。这并没有描绘出一幅积极的画面。自2014年以来,印度外交政策的主要目标仍然是在其所有边界上包围巴基斯坦,并将其与世界其他地区隔离开来。世界上几乎所有超级大国和穆斯林国家都鼓励与印度建立外交关系。印度战略性地利用所有与它关系密切的地区国家和全球大国来对抗巴基斯坦。在没有任何区域或国际压力的情况下,它单方面改变了印控克什米尔的特殊宪法地位。另一方面,巴基斯坦的反动外交政策并不依靠先发制人的措施来对抗印度的外交政策,印度的外交政策主要建立在对巴基斯坦的阴谋之上。印度一直在利用巴基斯坦软弱而模糊的国际政策。本研究旨在详细分析2014年至2020年期间影响印度和巴基斯坦外交政策决策的因素,特别是内部或国内因素。利用艾利森的外交政策模型,他发现了导致巴基斯坦的非生产性和响应性对外政策与印度积极有力的对外战略形成鲜明对比的因素。本研究确定的一个重要发现是,与巴基斯坦相比,印度的民主制度和政治连续性是为有效的政策制定和建立强有力的制度提供坚实基础的重要因素,而巴基斯坦缺乏这两个因素会导致制度危机以及软弱和被动的决策。
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Explaining the Role of Domestic Factors in Shaping Foreign Policies: India and Pakistan in Comparative Perspective (2014-2020)
Since 2014, India's domestic and foreign policies have reflected violent religious fanaticism and hyper-nationalism. If elected to power, Modi often stated that India would pursue a tough stance against Pakistan and would put Indian Occupied Kashmir (IOK) directly under the control of the Indian central government. This did not paint a positive picture. Since 2014, India's primary goal in foreign policy has remained to encircle Pakistan on all of its borders and isolate it from the rest of the world. Nearly all of the world's superpowers and the Muslim nations have encouraged diplomatic relations with India. India strategically employs all of the regional nations and global powers it has close ties to fight Pakistan. Without any regional or international pressure, it unilaterally changed the special constitutional status of Indian-occupied Kashmir. The reactionary foreign policy of Pakistan, on the other hand, did not rely on pre-emptive measures to fight India's foreign policy, which is primarily built on plotting against Pakistan. India consistently takes advantage of Pakistan's weak and nebulous international policies. This study aims to give a detailed analysis of the elements, in particular the internal or domestic ones that were responsible for influencing foreign policy decision-making in India and Pakistan between 2014 and 2020. Using Allison’s models of foreign policy has identified the factors accountable for Pakistan's unproductive and responsive external policy in contrast to India's proactive and forceful external strategy. One of the crucial findings that this study identified is that the democratic system and political continuity in India are the significant elements providing a strong base for effective policy making and building strong institutions as compared to Pakistan where the absence of both these elements are contributing to institutional crisis as well as weak and passive decision making.
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发文量
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