自动化公司的员工会发生什么?

James Bessen, Maarten Goos, Anna Salomons, Wiljan van den Berge
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引用次数: 5

摘要

我们通过将荷兰微观数据与涵盖所有私营非金融部门公司的自动化支出的直接衡量相结合,估计了公司层面自动化对个人工人成果的影响。利用一种利用块投资的新颖的差异事件研究设计,我们发现自动化增加了在职工人与雇主分离的可能性。由于工作天数的减少,工人的5年累计工资收入损失为一年收入的9%。自动化的这些不利影响在小公司中更大,对于受过中等教育的老年人来说也是如此。相比之下,企业在计算机方面的投资没有出现这样的损失。
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What Happens to Workers at Firms that Automate?
Abstract We estimate the impact of firm-level automation on individual worker outcomes by combining Dutch micro-data with a direct measure of automation expenditures covering all private non-financial sector firms. Using a novel difference-in-differences event-study design leveraging lumpy investment, we find that automation increases the probability of incumbent workers separating from their employers. Workers experience a 5-year cumulative wage income loss of 9 percent of one year's earnings, driven by decreases in days worked. These adverse impacts of automation are larger in smaller firms, and for older and middle-educated workers. By contrast, no such losses are found for firms' investments in computers.
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