路面状况对事故严重程度的影响

IF 0.2 Q4 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Suranaree Journal of Science and Technology Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI:10.55766/sujst-2023-01-e01616
Sudesh Nair Baskara, Haryati Yaacob, Sitti Asmah Hassan, Mohd Rosli Hainin, Mohd Shahrir Amin Ahmad, Ramadhansyah Putra Jaya, Zaid Hazim Al-Saffar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文从路面状况对事故严重程度的影响出发,重点研究道路安全方面的问题。使用R软件并利用马来西亚高速公路上两年的事故和路面状况数据,产生了四种二项和多项逻辑回归模型。分析的表面特征包括国际粗糙度指数(IRI)、车辙深度(RD)和平均纹理深度(MTD)。评估的事故严重程度从损害到死亡不等。结果表明,IRI对事故严重程度的影响最大。在确定所有独立变量的阈值时,死亡机会显著增加。因此,必须努力确保在维护路面方面不达到阈值,以改善道路安全。
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THE IMPACT OF PAVEMENT CONDITIONS ON ACCIDENT SEVERITIES
This paper focuses on the aspect of road safety based on the impact of pavement conditions on accident severities. Four models of binomial and multinomial logistic regression were produced using the R software and utilizing two years of accident and pavement conditions data on Malaysian highways. The surface characteristics analyzed included the International Roughness Index (IRI), rut depth (RD) and mean texture depth (MTD). The accident severity assessed ranged from damage to death. Results indicated that IRI has the highest tendency to affect accident severity for all models. At the thresholds identified for all independent variables, the chances of death had increased significantly. As such, efforts must be driven to ensure the thresholds are not reached in the maintenance of pavements for better road safety.
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来源期刊
Suranaree Journal of Science and Technology
Suranaree Journal of Science and Technology MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES-
CiteScore
0.30
自引率
50.00%
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0
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