冠状病毒大流行期间西伯利亚联邦区人口自然流动特征

Q4 Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology Sibirskii nauchnyi meditsinskii zhurnal Pub Date : 2023-10-27 DOI:10.18699/ssmj20230521
M. I. Voevoda, V. M. Chernyshev, I. F. Mingazov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

新型冠状病毒感染的大流行使俄罗斯联邦本已不利的人口状况进一步恶化。这项研究的目的是评估该国和西伯利亚联邦区人口状况的变化以及造成这些变化的原因。材料和方法。使用了俄罗斯联邦卫生部、俄罗斯国家统计局、西伯利亚联邦区各主体的地区卫生部的统计数据,以及关于人口问题的文献。采用分析法、历史法、统计法,包括统计观察法、资料汇总和分组法、绝对统计值和相对统计值法、抽样法。结果和讨论。RF和SFD新型冠状病毒感染大流行期的特点是死亡率大幅上升,成为俄罗斯最新历史(即1991年以来)的最高水平。主要死亡原因的结构发生了变化。2019年,循环系统疾病、肿瘤、消化器官疾病和外因占所有死因的76.6%,到2021年仅占60.1%,非传染性疾病在死亡原因中排名第二(19.1%)。出生率保持在较低水平,2021年为每千人9.6人,比2017年低16.5%,因此人口自然下降明显增加(俄罗斯为-6.3人,俄罗斯为-7.0人),平均预期寿命下降。结论。上述所有情况都表明,预防和预防这一流行病的不利影响的措施无效,而在研究不充分的新传染病方面,这几乎是不可避免的。在这种大流行病的情况下,为组织向居民提供医疗服务而采取的措施还不够充分。人口总死亡率高于可能的死亡率(由非传染性疾病死亡率增加造成),人口自然下降率显著增加,预期寿命缩短,这些都证明了这一点。
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Features of natural population movement in the Siberian Federal District during the coronavirus pandemic
The pandemic of a new corona virus infection (NCVI) has worsened the already unfavorable demographic situation in the Russian Federation. Aim of the study was to assess the changes in the demographic situation in the country and the Siberian Federal District and the causes contributing to them. Material and methods . Statistical data of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation, Rosstat, regional ministries of health of subjects belonging to the Siberian Federal District, and literature on the problems of demography were used. The following methods were used: analytical, historical, statistical, including statistical observation, summary and grouping of materials, absolute and relative statistical values, sampling. Results and discussion. The pandemic period of the new coronavirus infection in RF and SFD is characterized by a substantial increase in the mortality rate, which became the maximum in the newest history of Russia, i.e. since 1991. The structure of the main causes of death has changed. Diseases of the circulatory system, neoplasms, diseases of the digestive organs and external causes, accounted for 76.6 % of all causes in 2019, in 2021 they accounted for only 60.1 %, with NCVI taking second place among causes of death (19.1 %). The birth rate remains at a low level, and in 2021 was 9.6 per 1000 population, which is 16.5 % lower than in 2017, due to which the natural decline in population has significantly increased (to –6.3 in Russia and to –7.0 per 1000 population in SFD) and the average life expectancy has decreased. Conclusions. All of the foregoing points to the ineffectiveness of measures to prevent and forestall the adverse effects of the pandemic, which is practically inevitable in the case of new, poorly studied infectious diseases. The measures taken to organize medical care to the population in the conditions of the pandemic have not been adequate. This is evidenced by the higher rates of total mortality of the population, compared to the probable ones (caused by the increase in mortality from NCVI), a significant increase in natural population decline and a reduction in life expectancy.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
54
审稿时长
12 weeks
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