战时乌克兰企业对外经济活动的现代方面和特点

Damir Kulish
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引用次数: 0

摘要

俄罗斯对乌克兰的侵略主要影响乌克兰的生产和出口能力。目前的战争引发了人们对收成是否会被收获的担忧。此外,战争导致港口和油籽压榨业务关闭,影响了出口。乌克兰农民对战争造成的苦难表现出高度的抵抗力,在农业用地安全允许的情况下,他们继续种植农作物和畜牧产品。研究的目的是在战时条件下乌克兰企业对外经济活动的现代方面和特点。可以确定的是,由于乌克兰一半以上的作物生产用于出口,因此出口供应链的物流起着至关重要的作用。在俄罗斯入侵之前,乌克兰90%以上的农作物出口都要经过亚速海和黑海的港口。由于正在进行的战争或俄罗斯的占领,这些港口目前无法使用。其他出口渠道——公路、铁路和内河港口——无法处理与海港相同的吞吐量。因此,行业估计显示,目前的出口仅占正常出口的20%左右。在国家和全球两级,正在努力增加其他出口渠道的能力并寻找其他出口渠道。然而,储存的数量比平时要大,2022年6月至9月即将收获,这将导致大量快速生产,也需要储存以避免重大损失。此外,一些储存和加工设施遭到破坏,进一步延误和限制了乌克兰农产品的出口。全面入侵不仅会影响乌克兰的GDP,也会影响其伙伴国。其他国家还没有完全意识到,但如果全面入侵继续下去,伙伴国的人民将会感受到,因为人均国内生产总值减少了。然而,乌克兰将需要进一步的财政支持,无论是在短期内,因为战争仍在继续,还是在长期内恢复。从事对外经济活动的乌克兰企业需要制定和实施战时对外经济活动的适应性战略。JEL分类:N70, F1
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Modern aspects and features of foreign economic activity of Ukrainian enterprises in wartime conditions
Russia's aggression against Ukraine mainly affects Ukraine's production and export capabilities. The current war raises concerns about whether the harvest will be harvested. In addition, the war led to the closure of ports and oilseed crushing operations, which affected exports. Ukrainian farmers show high resistance to the hardships caused by the war, and continue to grow crop production and livestock products when the safety of agricultural land allows it. The purpose of the study is modern aspects and features of foreign economic activity of Ukrainian enterprises in wartime conditions. It is determined that since more than half of crop production in Ukraine is exported, logistics of the export supply chain plays a vital role. Before Russia's aggression, more than 90% of Ukrainian crop exports went through the ports of the Azov and Black Seas. These ports are currently unavailable due to the ongoing war or Russian occupation. Other export channels – road, rail, and river ports – are not capable of handling the same volumes as seaports. Thus, industry estimates show that current exports account for only about 20% of normal exports. At the national and global levels, efforts are being made to increase the capacity of alternative export channels and find other outlets. However, the larger-than-usual volumes that remain in storage and the upcoming harvest in June-September 2022 will lead to rapid production of large volumes that will also need to be stored to avoid significant losses. In addition, some storage and processing facilities were damaged, which further delays and restricts the export of agricultural products from Ukraine. A full-scale invasion affects not only Ukraine's GDP, but also its partner countries. Other countries are not yet fully aware, but if a full-scale invasion continues, the population of partner countries will feel it due to a reduction in GDP per capita. However, Ukraine will need further financial support both in the short term, as the war continues, and in the long term for recovery. And Ukrainian enterprises engaged in foreign economic activity need to develop and implement an adaptive strategy of foreign economic activity in wartime conditions. JEL Classification: N70, F1
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